Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33142df9dcd45e32f58599950139728fbc09beb4e83a5a2a12a10cde953685c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 608$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 554.35$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Under | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 54c | 52.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 42c | 38.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 45c | 23.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 53c | 21.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…c73ebacked Over | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5this page
- PAOK vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.