TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,801 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c13,449$7,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,372.981,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c7,082$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.511,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c7,027$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Under78c6,413$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.127068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c6,246$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.3846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under13c6,190$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.752035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,200$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6005552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over66c4,999$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74de…1c77backed Under0c4,010$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under13c3,994$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.1659441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over57c3,600$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5484365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.9610232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over47c2,552$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under12c2,400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Under44c2,315$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.64850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.993050%15 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over35c1,423$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.697625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over26c1,402$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.31010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under12c1,346$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5526445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03fd…83f7backed Over57c1,146$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under12c1,055$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5726047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under56c1,000$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.143050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Under43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over35c999.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Over40c973.29$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.7850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+247.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over16c875.74$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.853161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over49c868.36$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3620639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under46c855$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+151.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over21c829.92$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.367834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over77c750$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.671172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x838d…3cbdbacked Over42c723.81$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c699.97$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9919455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over37c699.97$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.982040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over51c655$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.153971.8%28 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x837b…cdebbacked Over28c630.77$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.571921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over80c629.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263482.4%28 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Over43c619.58$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.994555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over57c617.19$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.393240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over74c612.51$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.511478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under58c589.47$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.375438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over39c567.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.889953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over30c550.77$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.645630.4%17 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Under47c542.85$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.923548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b0…dcd6backed Over72c505$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over13c470.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2517348%83 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6499…b56abacked Under46c439.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over57c407.74$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.331338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Under5c407.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+388.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb925…06c8backed Over51c391.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over23c390.21$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4637753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over38c381.58$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.581172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under12c380.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6715847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.883154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under46c347.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over43c333$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8111843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ad…c898backed Over12c314.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+505.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under50c312.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over45c309.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.381822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7537…801dbacked Under9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under35c278.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5625735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over37c275.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3723637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a34…d8f3backed Under17c271$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Under76c270$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over59c266.3$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.321043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Under13c261.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.061741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under78c257.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over57c253.33$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.933246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over9c253$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.231233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over62c250$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9410760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under13c248.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3640250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Under45c239.07$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.585115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Under5c236.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over42c231.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2213134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over70c230$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under61c218.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.718056.3%45 W · 35 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over46c218.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.041546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over19c212.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.591216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Over40c210.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6424…3045backed Over50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…4392backed Over57c202.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.89875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under38c200.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.683145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea1…df66backed Over71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1460%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under37c199.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.915438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Over38c190.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Over72c184.65$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.513652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over50c182.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4821460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over45c179$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.256250%31 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab70…0322backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd280…54f4backed Over9c168.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid+85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.