TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Newcastle United FCof FC Barcelona, Newcastle United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,563 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Newcastle United FC79c39,802$31,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,351.841,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed FC Barcelona21c22,221$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.391030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Newcastle United FC78c9,801$7,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.0758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked FC Barcelona21c8,926$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.562334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed FC Barcelona22c6,818$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Newcastle United FC78c6,103$4,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.2126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Newcastle United FC79c5,919$4,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.9638748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed FC Barcelona22c5,316$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked FC Barcelona22c4,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed FC Barcelona21c4,444$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.262927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Newcastle United FC79c3,093$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.4716349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Newcastle United FC78c2,807$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.9959441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed FC Barcelona22c2,749$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.347625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Newcastle United FC79c2,388$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.6716144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed FC Barcelona22c2,324$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.831010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Newcastle United FC78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed FC Barcelona25c2,000$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.994942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked FC Barcelona22c1,591$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed FC Barcelona23c1,251$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.715032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed FC Barcelona19c1,035$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed FC Barcelona21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108043.8%35 W · 45 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8973…c6debacked FC Barcelona21c989.33$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7650%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Barcelona21c934$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1413245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Newcastle United FC73c788$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.764447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked FC Barcelona8c786$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8821938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed FC Barcelona22c785.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725928.8%17 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked FC Barcelona14c710.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Barcelona10c652$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.259136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked FC Barcelona18c510$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.954440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Newcastle United FC79c509.96$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.358643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed FC Barcelona24c500.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1312344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc6…4b3bbacked FC Barcelona22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca51…fca8backed FC Barcelona21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5285…99a1backed FC Barcelona24c499.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked FC Barcelona20c499.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.963050%15 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked FC Barcelona19c499$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.746250%31 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…4925backed FC Barcelona21c485.71$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Newcastle United FC79c479.05$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.226741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed FC Barcelona21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005328.3%15 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca9…1601backed FC Barcelona22c454.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed FC Barcelona22c454.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed FC Barcelona22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed FC Barcelona22c418.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926144.3%27 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed FC Barcelona24c350.77$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.485442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e39…dfd9backed FC Barcelona13c337.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked FC Barcelona14c324$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.362536%9 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed FC Barcelona22c313.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed FC Barcelona12c307.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3939443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cd…6234backed FC Barcelona23c301.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed FC Barcelona24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked FC Barcelona17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FC Barcelona23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.548947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FC Barcelona21c248.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1517348%83 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…8a6bbacked FC Barcelona22c245.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-61.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5db…63a5backed FC Barcelona21c239.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3740%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed FC Barcelona22c230.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.178638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed FC Barcelona11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked FC Barcelona21c197.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.495940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked FC Barcelona21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed FC Barcelona21c185.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Newcastle United FC79c180.38$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8813453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Newcastle United FC78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3310164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Newcastle United FC79c146.35$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1520643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Newcastle United FC79c137.44$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.862748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed FC Barcelona22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…eaecbacked FC Barcelona21c135.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed FC Barcelona20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1823637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd895…de0cbacked Newcastle United FC78c134.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…d230backed FC Barcelona12c130$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Newcastle United FC77c124.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.281752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid+4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb520…6e24backed FC Barcelona14c121.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81100%0 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad46…2bfbbacked FC Barcelona22c121$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Newcastle United FC80c118.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.126852.9%36 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd212…f0f4backed FC Barcelona22c114.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aeb…1bc2backed FC Barcelona22c113.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed FC Barcelona21c108.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7429445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa322…29d6backed FC Barcelona22c106$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d6…4194backed FC Barcelona22c103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa5…f8efbacked FC Barcelona22c101$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed FC Barcelona22c100.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228349.4%41 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed FC Barcelona22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224032.5%13 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed FC Barcelona16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Newcastle United FC79c96.17$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5615038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2d…76e3backed FC Barcelona17c95.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdffa…34dfbacked Newcastle United FC78c94.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed FC Barcelona22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c34…f6a2backed FC Barcelona22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480f…eccfbacked FC Barcelona22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Newcastle United FC79c86.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.035050%25 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FC Barcelona17c84.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4814220.4%29 W · 113 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3412…06eebacked Newcastle United FC78c71.77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a48…626fbacked FC Barcelona21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Newcastle United FC79c70.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7113246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked FC Barcelona21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74630.4%14 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Newcastle United FC78c63.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed FC Barcelona24c60.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4616327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7575…05f7backed FC Barcelona22c57.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed FC Barcelona41c56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8521744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec87…ccecbacked Newcastle United FC78c54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea76…88ecbacked FC Barcelona22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.