Champions League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc56673e0dc4ba4598e1ab04c4a27ce770c6c69afb076f746d5982f6a92f73d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,252 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 29c | 5,130$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 3,913$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.39 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1afbbacked Over | 29c | 3,453$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 73c | 3,101$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.45 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…0c9fbacked Over | 28c | 2,854$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Under | 73c | 2,743$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.91 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 71c | 2,426$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.42 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Under | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…feefbacked Under | 72c | 1,832$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 1,715$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.92 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 26c | 1,680$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.41 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 29c | 1,100$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…3775backed Under | 72c | 1,023$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 28c | 999.78$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 74c | 877.77$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 73c | 674$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 28c | 607.34$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 475.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 71c | 442$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…0f80backed Over | 28c | 359.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 29c | 344.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 72c | 277.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…f044backed Over | 28c | 196.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 15c | 196.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 28c | 192.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 174.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 29c | 138.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Under | 73c | 137.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Under | 74c | 103.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 27c | 101.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 27c | 96.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…d522backed Under | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…9601backed Over | 28c | 89.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 72c | 83.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 73c | 68.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Under | 74c | 59.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 72c | 57.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 72c | 55.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 26c | 40.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 72c | 30.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 72c | 29.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 74c | 29.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 73c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 74c | 27.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…bb7bbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked Under | 72c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 73c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…f719backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Under | 73c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.