TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x270c…f377

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,149.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$206.75
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$134
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$33.69
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$123.56
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.65
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$15.24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$72.67
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.02
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.95
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.28
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$28.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.75
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.82
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$2.58
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$328.62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+886.9%+$1,315.96
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100.1%+$1,721
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.2%+$18.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.4%+$466.14
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.6%+$131.09
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$7.72
Sao Leopoldo: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Valerio Aboianbacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.72
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.35
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.76
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.89
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.19
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.2
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.36
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.64
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$37.36
Jiangxi Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lilli Taggerbacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.59
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+77.1%+$105.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23.58
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+50.3%+$280.69
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.43
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+42.8%+$130.46
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$81.28
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$7
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$5.4
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$174.69
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+51%+$12.81
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$9.17
Will IR Iran win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$17.79
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$4.02
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36.6
Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$41.91
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$6.2
Will Getafe vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$55.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick76cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.24
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+54.9%+$7.82
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+45.3%+$9.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$9.74
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$33.54
CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$7.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+91.4%+$795.15
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$782.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. win his boxing match against?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.