Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lilli Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e748de2271966e600d7137547aa96510d9377e0aa7c3fbd0bf97ea8fcc602c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taggerof Cocciaretto, Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cocciaretto | 15c | 9,904$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.77 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tagger | 76c | 4,072$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.88 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tagger | 62c | 3,933$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.08 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Tagger | 56c | 2,611$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.23 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Cocciaretto | 66c | 1,749$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tagger | 76c | 1,206$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.52 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tagger | 69c | 853.05$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Cocciaretto | 59c | 811.77$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.62 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tagger | 27c | 692.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.52 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Tagger | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcd…42e1backed Cocciaretto | 55c | 585$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tagger | 72c | 466.16$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cocciaretto | 19c | 454.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f6…3e8fbacked Cocciaretto | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…de9dbacked Tagger | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…276bbacked Tagger | 27c | 290$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…c59ebacked Cocciaretto | 73c | 290$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tagger | 58c | 253.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Cocciaretto | 66c | 249.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Cocciaretto | 74c | 240$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Cocciaretto | 58c | 213.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Cocciaretto | 73c | 202.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cocciaretto | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tagger | 27c | 139.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Cocciaretto | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Cocciaretto | 73c | 138$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…e2afbacked Cocciaretto | 73c | 136.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2704…b9aebacked Tagger | 29c | 117$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Tagger | 27c | 107.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Cocciaretto | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…1c32backed Cocciaretto | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Tagger | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Cocciaretto | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Cocciaretto | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Cocciaretto | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6ca4backed Tagger | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Cocciaretto | 73c | 89.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Cocciaretto | 72c | 77.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Cocciaretto | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Tagger | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…fab2backed Cocciaretto | 51c | 58.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Cocciaretto | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…5311backed Tagger | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc5…99ecbacked Cocciaretto | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Cocciaretto | 58c | 39.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Tagger | 29c | 35.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9420…b86cbacked Tagger | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…26a5backed Tagger | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Cocciaretto | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Cocciaretto | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Cocciaretto | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e2…b4bdbacked Tagger | 79c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…40c8backed Tagger | 77c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.