TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d1e…327a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tweets, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST3860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.67
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$19.58
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+118.1%+$31.95
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.32
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+156.4%+$38.81
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.05
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$20.44
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.59
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+43.9%+$17.16
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.34
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.93
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.3
Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Brentford vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$48.4
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+81.7%+$8.17
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+46.9%+$24.36
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$92.17
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2540%10 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.42
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+97%+$58.19
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.24
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Grizzlies vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.06
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.08
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$16.31
Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.13
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.7
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$13
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.67
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$13.3
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.7%+$10.62
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.02
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24.06
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$47.5
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34.9
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.53
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+122.3%+$24.47
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.29
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.65
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.3
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$75.86
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$24.92
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+89%+$19.58
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Will VfL Bochum win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.79
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26.99
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.09
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.81
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.7
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69%+$7.32
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$68.45
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$14.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$66.96
SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+75%+$18.75
Lazio vs. Cagliari: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.13
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45.08
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.15
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.8
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.81
FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.44
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.88
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.88
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.87
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+76.8%+$28.76
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.38
FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.57
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.3
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+59%+$6.19
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Chennai Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeevabacked Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Storm Hunterbacked Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.64
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.9
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Chennai Open: Arianne Hartono vs Joanna Garlandbacked Hartono · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Jiangxi Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lilli Taggerbacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jiangxi Open: Kaja Juvan vs Claire Liubacked Juvan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.