Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe96df418306027c643502ede8381497219f6640599effc5b5b9be6c754a029b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 52c | 10,504$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.86 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 1,895$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 955.08$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 752.09$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.41 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 50c | 403.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 48c | 354.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 53c | 219.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 23c | 215$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…9f7ebacked Yes | 21c | 204.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 189.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 29c | 135.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 22c | 111.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 96.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…1054backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 64.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…a543backed Yes | 55c | 49.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 57c | 33.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 51c | 27.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…f168backed Yes | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-03?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-11-03?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.