TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2738…6412

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$91.5
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$87.4
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+669.2%+$609
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42.53
Buccaneers vs. Saints: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$283.33
Jets vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$84.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$253.45
Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$1,104.54
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Mavericksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+400%+$40
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Suns: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Memphis (-13.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Colorado vs. Utah: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$87.22
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Kansas State vs. Kansasbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$820
Rutgers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,180
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$506.6
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+204.9%+$1,024.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+181.7%+$38.7
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$254.35
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$26.6
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+69.4%+$20.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$302
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$366.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.