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NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Islanders, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$480,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$496,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Islanders35c165,968$58,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,890.699340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah65c60,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Islanders35c56,366$19,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,637.8114538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Utah65c51,000$33,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,15039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Utah65c24,732$16,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,076.0547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Utah66c24,050$15,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,824.2611955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Utah65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Utah65c19,240$12,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,505.9888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Utah65c18,000$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,7006055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Utah77c15,183$11,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,685.41,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Islanders23c14,359$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,108.254035%14 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Utah65c13,107$8,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,519.522550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah66c9,000$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders35c6,094$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.511,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders35c5,374$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.5754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders35c5,301$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.6428353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Islanders35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah65c4,124$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.572,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Islanders27c4,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders34c3,800$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders36c3,430$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.761,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah70c3,362$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.711,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Islanders34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.9830552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Islanders35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.141330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Utah65c2,855$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.7515954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Islanders34c2,430$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.81,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Islanders34c2,383$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.5417749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders34c2,283$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.2895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Utah62c2,271$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.0827143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah65c2,214$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.1792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Islanders36c2,097$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.636640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Islanders34c2,088$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.2426946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Utah64c2,056$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.0569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Islanders34c2,051$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.8451452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Utah65c2,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Utah65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dad…805abacked Islanders35c2,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+65.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18c3…0964backed Utah64c2,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…5c0abacked Utah65c1,900$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5216…fe0bbacked Islanders34c1,900$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…a7d5backed Utah64c1,647$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bfb…5ce8backed Islanders36c1,645$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Islanders40c1,604$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.376063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x179c…2d61backed Utah64c1,591$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.96955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9b…4193backed Islanders36c1,589$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.961250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Islanders17c1,517$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.432,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Islanders34c1,487$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.4287447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Utah65c1,466$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.791,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah1c1,432$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.327450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5743743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders34c1,428$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.4857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89624845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders30c1,343$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.113,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah64c1,327$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.211,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Utah65c1,200$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah65c1,153$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.451,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Islanders36c1,100$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70420144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a11…aab3backed Utah66c1,017$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee1b…7b0ebacked Islanders36c1,016$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.241457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Islanders35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Islanders34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Utah65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Islanders36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked Utah65c999.97$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.985453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders34c981.91$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.2991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Islanders22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0918132%58 W · 123 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Islanders28c892.6$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.362,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Islanders10c847.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.7410565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Islanders40c845.22$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0182043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669c…6c54backed Utah66c840.91$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6715…9a59backed Islanders35c840.51$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Islanders36c816$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.1161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Islanders37c789$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.071,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Utah66c757$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.624045%18 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Utah66c750$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957459.5%44 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Islanders34c732.15$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.228425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Islanders36c697.22$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2210255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a6c…bd76backed Islanders36c693.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…88dbbacked Utah64c671$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Islanders17c603.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.1718840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ef…4263backed Utah62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b7…06febacked Utah62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d3…121abacked Islanders38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d99…c37abacked Islanders38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d4…37fdbacked Islanders38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb14e…156dbacked Utah62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x492b…726bbacked Islanders38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b52…8645backed Utah62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Islanders35c599.87$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9221147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0a…2634backed Utah62c590$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb490…735dbacked Islanders38c590$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb0…806bbacked Islanders38c580$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbd…62aabacked Utah62c580$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd6b…9b90backed Utah62c580$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…b88cbacked Islanders38c580$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f49…2ed6backed Utah62c570$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0df…96e7backed Islanders38c570$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe534…6678backed Utah62c570$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.