TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f9b…4193

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$476.16
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,016.96
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.89
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.87
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.12
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$19.99
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$30.42
Kings vs. Wildbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.3
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$23.06
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+132.6%+$27.9
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+123.3%+$25.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$889.08
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.02
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.61
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.55
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26.23
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.36
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$21.09
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+132.6%+$19.5
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+122.2%+$16.57
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$13.15
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$32
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$593.85
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Twins vs. Redsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$21.35
Yankees vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.58
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$29.13
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+58.7%+$16.15
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+78.6%+$14.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$486.87
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,034.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$341.5
Will CA Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,011.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,002.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+150%+$1,021.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,009.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.