MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f22482700878480e097ca83c3f2c7de82a07130d88c186c53273ac25964474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 76c | 19,742$14,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.7 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Royals | 47c | 13,209$6,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,208.27 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Royals | 46c | 6,472$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 57c | 6,104$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622 | 497 | 50.1%249 W · 248 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Royals | 0c | 5,107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Royals | 29c | 5,069$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Royals | 42c | 4,303$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.13 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 44c | 4,009$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.83 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Royals | 50c | 3,853$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.28 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 29c | 3,497$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.52 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Royals | 42c | 3,191$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.3 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yankees | 48c | 3,000$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.71 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 53c | 2,307$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 50c | 2,145$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.43 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 59c | 2,001$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.36 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Yankees | 56c | 2,000$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 42c | 1,985$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.7 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 50c | 1,828$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 38c | 1,738$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.08 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Yankees | 58c | 1,732$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Royals | 42c | 1,730$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Royals | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,375$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.95 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 46c | 1,326$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.55 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Royals | 40c | 1,325$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Royals | 63c | 1,278$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Yankees | 57c | 1,160$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.01 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 44c | 1,124$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 42c | 1,112$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.22 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yankees | 53c | 1,072$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.39 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees | 58c | 1,055$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Yankees | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.89 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yankees | 70c | 1,034$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Yankees | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Royals | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 56c | 981.82$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Royals | 45c | 958.59$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.36 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…7898backed Yankees | 59c | 940$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…0df1backed Royals | 41c | 940$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Royals | 7c | 871.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 40c | 851.58$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.63 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Yankees | 74c | 811.67$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Royals | 40c | 799.9$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.96 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yankees | 54c | 753.88$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.78 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Yankees | 49c | 727.85$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.57 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees | 50c | 601.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.52 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Yankees | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 30c | 557.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Yankees | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees | 59c | 504.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Royals | 47c | 504.26$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yankees | 54c | 504$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Royals | 26c | 500.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yankees | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 30c | 478.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Royals | 49c | 459.53$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…c594backed Yankees | 77c | 458.32$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Yankees | 59c | 384.75$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Royals | 51c | 384.32$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 39c | 374.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Royals | 41c | 373.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yankees | 59c | 327.96$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Royals | 27c | 281.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Yankees | 49c | 270.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Yankees | 64c | 235.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Yankees | 60c | 235.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Royals | 51c | 235.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Royals | 26c | 231.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 44c | 228.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da7…a164backed Yankees | 52c | 227.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 58c | 226$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees | 57c | 219.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yankees | 57c | 216.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 41c | 210.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Royals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Royals | 52c | 197.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 25c | 192$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Yankees | 59c | 185.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yankees | 59c | 183.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Royals | 44c | 179.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 48c | 170.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Royals | 47c | 168.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…74ddbacked Yankees | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yankees | 59c | 163$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.