TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ea7…7a4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$528.85
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$852.92
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$456.75
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$369.9
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$732.46
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$153.9
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$29.2
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$954.52
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$61.37
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$1,418.94
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$448.1
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$617.94
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$279.71
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$894.61
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.31
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,070.85
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.55
Twins vs. Astrosbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$945
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+141.9%+$298.54
Yankees vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Rangers vs. Twinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$308.84
White Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Cardinals vs. Philliesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Padres vs. Piratesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
ATL Braves vs. SD Padres March 30backed Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.7
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$353.2
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$412.48
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Maria Timofeeva vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$228.62
Set 1 Games: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,414
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+107%+$36.38
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$19.6
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+94.6%+$31.6
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$282
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$54
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.79
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$131
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Iowabacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$478.8
Washington State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+175.7%+$175.68
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+118.1%+$177.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
BLAST.tv Austin Major: G2 vs. paiNbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$73.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Team to Advancebacked Heart of Midlothian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.19
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,917Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+35.3%+$676.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguezbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$75.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$332.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+43%+$3,157.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.