MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941c160a224201b09ae88db6da9f78bcea27661ce8555ea559667c93f1f9275a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Under | 55c | 365,428$200,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,985.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Over | 45c | 212,089$95,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,648.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,500 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Under | 53c | 10,146$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,373.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 6,026$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.79 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 5,582$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 3,490$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 3,294$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Over | 47c | 3,168$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.93 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 41c | 2,479$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.15 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 47c | 2,447$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.81 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 51c | 2,371$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 56c | 2,125$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.06 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Over | 47c | 2,108$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 44c | 2,008$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.31 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.71 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 1,960$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 1,586$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.44 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Over | 47c | 1,520$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 1,478$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 1,339$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.58 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.98 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 1,279$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.49 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 1,069$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 57c | 1,044$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.9 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 993.87$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.92 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 43c | 989.99$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.7 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 53c | 920.4$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.59 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 898$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.04 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Under | 50c | 889$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 883.56$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 55c | 879.48$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d301backed Under | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 40c | 488.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 431.02$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 46c | 424.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 46c | 395.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 55c | 394.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 51c | 392.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…e0cdbacked Over | 62c | 383.02$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 61c | 370.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 48c | 363.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Over | 47c | 358$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Under | 46c | 321.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 54c | 321.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 60c | 311.59$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Over | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 49c | 299$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 60c | 271.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 80c | 236.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 51c | 228.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed Under | 40c | 225$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 225$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 47c | 219.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 58c | 204.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 61c | 191.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 61c | 190.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 59c | 187.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 183.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Under | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 60c | 168.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 49c | 161.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 154.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 63c | 151.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 43c | 138.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 54c | 132.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 57c | 127.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 60c | 126.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 56c | 125.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 41c | 122.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 48c | 104.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 61c | 100.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 50c | 89.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 42c | 86.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 53c | 76.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…138ebacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Under | 52c | 69.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…8c64backed Over | 51c | 69.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.