MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44584dd63829821252cbb4f4b69bda6698ed6912730d3f2fd93bd6df4bc7bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Philadelphia Phillies, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4738…4687backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 5,084$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.43 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 4,286$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.99 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 4,093$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.33 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 3,559$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,741$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,679$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.17 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,340$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 1,146$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 1,137$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.63 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 976.8$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 879$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.29 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 862.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 826$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.18 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 817.68$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 705.87$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.03 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 587.08$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 570.7$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 536.84$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 512.14$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.46 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…0caabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 488.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 486$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 369.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 355.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 302.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 281.8$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.28 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 280.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…3652backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 245.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 237.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 236.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 232.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 223.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 219.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 214.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 206.07$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 198$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 193.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 179.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 173.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 63c | 158.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 139$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 121.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 115.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…d7a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 100.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 100.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 99.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 94.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 91.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 88.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 86.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 85.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 80.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 77.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 64.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 63.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 50.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 46.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 44.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 43.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 42.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 40.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 39.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 36.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed San Francisco Giants | 80c | 31.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 31.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 31.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 29.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 28.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 26.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 25.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 22.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 21.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.