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MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof San Francisco Giants, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$600,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$674,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1de3…a1fabacked San Francisco Giants28c123,770$35,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,036.983020%6 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies72c90,572$65,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,068.211,05451.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L+137.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Philadelphia Phillies53c21,825$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,224.5636047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked San Francisco Giants80c20,044$16,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,014.0914924.2%36 W · 113 L-0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants43c17,013$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.561,69250.2%849 W · 843 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants42c16,742$7,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,104.1247953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Philadelphia Phillies57c13,500$7,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8055862.1%36 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants58c11,939$6,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,915.2848850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants37c10,804$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.5312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants43c9,716$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.8914248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524a…346fbacked San Francisco Giants46c8,704$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies58c7,846$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.1638148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed San Francisco Giants45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37514042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Giants79c5,613$4,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,440.7185835.7%306 W · 552 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9944945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Francisco Giants25c4,652$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.0812227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants48c4,570$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.312,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Philadelphia Phillies77c4,567$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.4112047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked San Francisco Giants46c4,090$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.719153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x108a…dc8dbacked San Francisco Giants24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked San Francisco Giants41c3,247$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.966845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed San Francisco Giants35c3,083$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0695149%25 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2601,08348.1%521 W · 562 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.9775248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked San Francisco Giants64c2,952$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.5119643.9%86 W · 110 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked San Francisco Giants32c2,714$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.661,16042.6%494 W · 666 L-40.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies58c2,308$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.514,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies75c2,263$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.471,87552.1%976 W · 899 L+52.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Philadelphia Phillies66c2,165$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.716746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants62c2,151$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.641,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Philadelphia Phillies74c2,019$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.331764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed San Francisco Giants45c2,018$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.925455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies62c1,946$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.5722149.3%109 W · 112 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Philadelphia Phillies53c1,880$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.8725366.4%168 W · 85 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Philadelphia Phillies66c1,822$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.6820350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x469d…1a62backed San Francisco Giants46c1,635$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.79825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies73c1,631$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.628,65452.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L+506.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed San Francisco Giants42c1,596$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.427751.6%143 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed San Francisco Giants46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants42c1,348$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.482,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Philadelphia Phillies57c1,228$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.0719158.1%111 W · 80 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants42c1,200$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5077,04650.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8735…162fbacked San Francisco Giants42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Philadelphia Phillies58c1,148$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2813655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f46…0bcbbacked Philadelphia Phillies57c1,137$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies55c1,052$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.364,10757.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L+65.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Philadelphia Phillies46c1,016$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.896536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Philadelphia Phillies70c1,000$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9411561.7%71 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Philadelphia Phillies57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed San Francisco Giants42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42014938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies57c989.31$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.467250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed San Francisco Giants32c940.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Philadelphia Phillies71c922$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8347589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies57c877$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.111,53059.4%909 W · 621 L+82.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed San Francisco Giants1c850$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+60.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Philadelphia Phillies79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1687557.3%43 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants42c787.39$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.655,51750.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L+26.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies58c775.28$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.048,25146.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L+41.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants34c738.28$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.1960941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e2…3ceabacked Philadelphia Phillies57c726.32$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3211751.3%60 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed San Francisco Giants46c721.45$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5339640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Philadelphia Phillies51c704$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5150949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies70c688.45$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4581757%466 W · 351 L-2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked San Francisco Giants15c681.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1133515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants43c666.1$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.861,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies57c650.97$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.21,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants37c650.67$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.626,30948.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants43c647.39$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.951,42343.6%620 W · 803 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies39c641.41$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4114243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed San Francisco Giants60c639.82$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.1270546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Philadelphia Phillies56c615$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.675049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies57c604.66$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26077153.8%415 W · 356 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies58c603.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.451,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants48c589.43$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.034,42845.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L+87.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Philadelphia Phillies76c583.03$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.411,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed San Francisco Giants43c580.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5711656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Philadelphia Phillies57c577.51$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.653342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d28…ad43backed San Francisco Giants43c575.58$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.55545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Philadelphia Phillies54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.563053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Philadelphia Phillies55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4519246.9%90 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed San Francisco Giants10c533.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6715037.3%56 W · 94 L-15.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked San Francisco Giants38c516.15$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.779725.8%25 W · 72 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Philadelphia Phillies51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24580159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked San Francisco Giants44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22032850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed San Francisco Giants43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked San Francisco Giants43c478.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9760350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa6…42c3backed Philadelphia Phillies78c476.73$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.735253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked San Francisco Giants40c472.36$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2721948.4%106 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed San Francisco Giants27c471.01$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies50c431.91$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.071,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants52c422.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.791,97053.1%1,047 W · 923 L+45.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Philadelphia Phillies74c418.92$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9283…ba85backed Philadelphia Phillies55c418.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.181428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed San Francisco Giants43c400.39$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.211,29843.6%566 W · 732 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8095234.3%327 W · 625 L-1.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked San Francisco Giants25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011942.9%51 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed San Francisco Giants25c384.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5877852.2%406 W · 372 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Philadelphia Phillies56c378.25$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2519348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed San Francisco Giants42c372.19$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.519442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Philadelphia Phillies60c353.17$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6179249.2%390 W · 402 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.