TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed2b…d4ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$44.91
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$162.34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$51.92
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$200.98
Brazzaville: Matyas Cerny vs Bor Artnakbacked Matyas Cerny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$136.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajdabacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamurabacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$217.2
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmohbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.2
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmohbacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
Saint-Malo: Yue Yuan vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$114.64
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkayabacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$190.09
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$165.84
Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$347.63
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$300.25
Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Jiujiang: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$43.74
Jiujiang: Fajing Sun vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$85.17
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.87
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.52
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$400.54
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.13
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.82
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.92
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.65
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$93.04
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.28
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$80.31
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$103.67
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$329.04
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$333.77
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Hershey Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$194.98
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,300
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.04
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$65.03
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$405.74
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.44
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$315.49
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$58.64
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.92
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.37
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$102.22
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$158.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.42
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$519.33
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.26
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$459.98
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$548.55
New York Liberty vs. Portland Firebacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$46.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$36.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.