NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4a33554d1cfe745f5c8d18b2a71f8e2b4fa946663142069342a8ceaefe60c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0832…4130backed Under | 20c | 3,610$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 43c | 1,590$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…46f2backed Over | 80c | 1,450$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…0228backed Over | 80c | 1,350$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 78c | 1,125$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 883.71$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…5b2cbacked Over | 80c | 810$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 625.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Under | 41c | 612.37$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 442$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…0eccbacked Over | 57c | 326.32$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9376backed Under | 22c | 288.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 35c | 286.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 21c | 263.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 77c | 213$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 191.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Under | 58c | 189.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 187.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 75c | 182$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 54c | 140.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 79c | 132.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 49c | 131$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Under | 15c | 129.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 79c | 124.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 55c | 123.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 119.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 22c | 114.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Under | 11c | 106.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 48c | 89.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 83.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 62c | 79.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Under | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 79c | 73.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…4930backed Under | 28c | 70.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Under | 21c | 48.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 40c | 43.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 44c | 38.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9817backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Over | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Under | 67c | 35.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…e71abacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…ab5dbacked Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…ad38backed Over | 77c | 24.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…b99bbacked Over | 77c | 23.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…9bb3backed Over | 77c | 23.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…40adbacked Over | 77c | 23.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…df55backed Over | 77c | 23.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc5…1ea2backed Over | 77c | 23.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0381…f76cbacked Over | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Over | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…88a0backed Over | 79c | 22.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed Over | 77c | 22.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…83c0backed Over | 79c | 22.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…594cbacked Over | 77c | 22.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…4d52backed Over | 77c | 22.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…cbc8backed Over | 77c | 22.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed Over | 77c | 22.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…2ef8backed Over | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4426…ea88backed Over | 77c | 21.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Over | 77c | 21.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ea5abacked Under | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…bfefbacked Over | 78c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…b5fdbacked Over | 77c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…4681backed Over | 77c | 20.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Over | 78c | 20.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…9ce1backed Over | 77c | 20.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…4861backed Over | 79c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 75c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…19f2backed Over | 79c | 16.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…2fbabacked Over | 77c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…6a00backed Over | 77c | 15.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…978cbacked Over | 77c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 78c | 14.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…7a0cbacked Over | 77c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5this page
- Ducks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.