TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Golden Knights, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bb…8492backed Ducks62c6,766$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Golden Knights38c2,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9888845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed Golden Knights50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ducks50c1,859$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.338551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Golden Knights31c1,578$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.12812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-80.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Golden Knights38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Golden Knights39c1,140$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Golden Knights38c1,136$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6528749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Golden Knights38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Golden Knights41c1,024$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Golden Knights41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41015839.9%63 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Ducks66c884.47$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.729562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks63c763.62$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.523,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Ducks76c672.55$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Golden Knights29c630$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5915535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Golden Knights45c570$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.533141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ducks66c518.29$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9528652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks67c500.01$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Ducks50c439$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.511949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ducks59c433.96$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.282,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights25c408.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ducks72c400$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Ducks62c399.98$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights24c354.37$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Golden Knights34c316$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4412859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Golden Knights38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11426136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Golden Knights38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004557.8%26 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Golden Knights36c250.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.349948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Ducks75c221.23$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.162951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights39c213$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8441050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Golden Knights39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ducks71c199.1$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9660449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights37c188.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3333554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks63c185$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6950251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Ducks66c172.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0621355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Ducks43c160.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.426056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Ducks43c159.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.015352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Golden Knights36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+86.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ducks59c135.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.71,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ab…a1bfbacked Golden Knights8c129.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Golden Knights38c123.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.815147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Ducks65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0881157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Golden Knights35c123.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.083151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0948…061cbacked Golden Knights34c115.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.884141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Golden Knights34c112.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.051,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Ducks66c93.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.924544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Ducks65c82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.973943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Ducks61c78.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8529533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Golden Knights35c76.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5747024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Golden Knights38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294226.2%11 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Ducks67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Golden Knights47c73.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7614855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights21c73.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Ducks67c72.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.772458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Ducks67c72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4413845.7%63 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Ducks70c71.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.414477.3%34 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Ducks63c68.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.245151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Ducks65c67.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6733660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Golden Knights37c67.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.859258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Ducks63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0523063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Ducks70c63.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0634547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Ducks63c61.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.940162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Ducks75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1526154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked Ducks51c59.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.23875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks61c58.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.861848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951b…291abacked Golden Knights38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206540%26 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Golden Knights36c49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6440%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Ducks64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8816959.8%101 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Ducks64c46.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.872653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Golden Knights38c45.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.264450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Golden Knights29c42.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Ducks67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Ducks62c33.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8769061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Golden Knights34c32.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8549851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Ducks63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7522763.4%144 W · 83 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Golden Knights36c28.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1710260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Ducks73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.563183.9%26 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Ducks68c26.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.474942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Ducks53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.422152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Ducks65c24.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6236561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Ducks68c22.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.241,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Ducks77c21.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Ducks64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ducks66c17.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8914254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Ducks62c16.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.475556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…ea5abacked Ducks63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Ducks67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.92564%16 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.