NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cebcda1d84a906a7093d3b67c2ddd618c7f342713864a9a454c2f475df9b1ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Ducks, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,009,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,037,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 150,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Ducks | 40c | 75,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Ducks | 41c | 61,464$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 51,821$30,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,286.93 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Golden Knights | 58c | 34,436$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,435.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 41c | 33,842$13,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,818.32 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ducks | 43c | 29,565$12,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,780.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 33c | 27,004$8,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,896.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Golden Knights | 59c | 22,673$13,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,296.02 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Ducks | 41c | 21,207$8,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,604.94 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Ducks | 43c | 21,090$8,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,991.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…02abbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 20,831$10,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,735.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Ducks | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.92 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Ducks | 45c | 19,000$8,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,637.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 15,044$8,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,767.84 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Ducks | 50c | 10,398$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.31 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Ducks | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Golden Knights | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Ducks | 40c | 9,955$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.09 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 40c | 9,878$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Ducks | 41c | 9,645$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Ducks | 45c | 9,227$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Golden Knights | 60c | 8,182$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.12 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden Knights | 62c | 7,748$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.33 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Ducks | 44c | 7,605$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Golden Knights | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 58c | 6,209$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.67 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Golden Knights | 57c | 5,836$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 39c | 5,653$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 5,525$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.99 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Ducks | 40c | 5,100$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Ducks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Ducks | 25c | 4,788$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.77 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Ducks | 40c | 4,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Ducks | 46c | 4,269$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…5f84backed Golden Knights | 59c | 4,236$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Ducks | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Golden Knights | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Ducks | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Ducks | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Ducks | 33c | 3,905$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 3,691$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.77 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Golden Knights | 54c | 3,666$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.34 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Ducks | 3c | 3,590$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +309.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Golden Knights | 47c | 3,319$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.3 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 54c | 3,285$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.66 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Golden Knights | 60c | 3,105$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Golden Knights | 42c | 3,055$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.83 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Golden Knights | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Ducks | 40c | 2,994$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Golden Knights | 63c | 2,897$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.02 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 2,864$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Ducks | 42c | 2,857$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Golden Knights | 69c | 2,819$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.95 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ducks | 54c | 2,770$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.96 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Ducks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Ducks | 42c | 2,280$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Ducks | 41c | 2,152$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.34 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,140$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.44 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,091$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.91 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ducks | 56c | 2,003$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.11 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Ducks | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Ducks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,957$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked Ducks | 19c | 1,946$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Ducks | 44c | 1,861$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Ducks | 42c | 1,781$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.92 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Ducks | 46c | 1,727$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.59 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Ducks | 40c | 1,705$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,598$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.09 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Ducks | 53c | 1,591$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.27 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Ducks | 41c | 1,585$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,462$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 37c | 1,454$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.02 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,394$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.42 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Ducks | 41c | 1,345$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Ducks | 35c | 1,316$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.32 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Ducks | 33c | 1,306$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,282$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.89 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Ducks | 15c | 1,179$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,162$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Ducks | 46c | 1,154$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.68 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Ducks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,125$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.73 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,100$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Ducks | 44c | 1,070$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.89 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,057$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.64 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,018$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.