TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5941…9583

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT6654.5%36 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$67.68
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$786.93
UFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$144.98
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$380
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.84
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jaqueline Amorim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$67.5
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tuco Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Daniel Barez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$434.97
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.22
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.18
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.2
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$199.4
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$94.49
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$148.1
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$50.53
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$217.26
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.67
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$746.82
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$113.11
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$42
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$115.71
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$111.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.13
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$446.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$92.68
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$131.76
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.08
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$38.85
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$110
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.51
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$229.49
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$172.28
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Will Botafogo FR vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+498.8%+$1,995.21
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.97
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$248.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.