TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Flyers, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,079,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,041,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,079,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Flyers31c367,270$113,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,849.8916442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hurricanes69c259,962$179,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,589.5940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Flyers31c250,000$77,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,499.9722443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes69c235,029$162,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,85920354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Hurricanes69c90,569$62,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,287.9115054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Flyers31c60,000$18,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,6001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Flyers0c55,128$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4318520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hurricanes68c40,614$27,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,996.4141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Flyers32c40,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,80014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hurricanes69c32,681$22,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,134.8237754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Flyers29c30,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,699.9756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Flyers31c19,999$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.637038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hurricanes69c18,524$12,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,744.559260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Hurricanes77c15,274$11,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.230259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f24…05efbacked Flyers33c15,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.971838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Hurricanes69c12,987$8,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,025.9720756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Flyers17c9,497$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.482839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hurricanes72c8,491$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.079157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Hurricanes66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.762240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.3833450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hurricanes69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.3818853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hurricanes69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.3818452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers0c6,355$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hurricanes66c6,228$4,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.62763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers4c6,104$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Hurricanes71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74035551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8601,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes69c5,965$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.1828749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Flyers32c5,750$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8405230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes71c5,507$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.991,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Hurricanes68c5,100$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.994555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Flyers31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9629146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f47…d0a3backed Flyers3c5,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes68c4,682$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.111,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers12c3,881$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.562,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hurricanes69c3,623$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.192564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurricanes71c3,435$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.151,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Hurricanes74c3,228$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.4352172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes68c3,151$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.2161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Hurricanes69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9304551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Flyers31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Flyers31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9303158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Flyers1c2,850$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2926849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Flyers2c2,665$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506833.8%23 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e9…aba8backed Flyers33c2,633$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Flyers31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Flyers33c2,015$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6609659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Flyers9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b5c…ab00backed Flyers1c2,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Flyers34c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.985749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Hurricanes68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9733652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Flyers12c1,975$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2448445.2%38 W · 46 L+14.8wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Flyers11c1,931$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9370249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hurricanes68c1,800$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Flyers34c1,793$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.72123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-46.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes67c1,765$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.5276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Hurricanes69c1,739$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.477761%47 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Flyers30c1,640$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.0948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Hurricanes65c1,632$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.366841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Flyers16c1,613$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3924837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Flyers32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Hurricanes69c1,559$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.426953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Flyers33c1,364$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be4…d8edbacked Flyers8c1,223$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Hurricanes68c1,205$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.4622946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Flyers33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39620144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Flyers9c1,112$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Flyers18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Flyers10c1,059$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.299321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…2317backed Flyers35c1,043$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.051631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Hurricanes69c1,014$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4929448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Hurricanes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flyers32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Hurricanes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Flyers1c999.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Flyers33c988.06$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.066246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Hurricanes68c924.74$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.245955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Flyers33c900$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2974738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Hurricanes69c833.57$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4117353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf67…7784backed Hurricanes68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2563455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b57…95e1backed Hurricanes75c799.92$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.993246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Flyers32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Flyers32c770$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.420147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef7…d842backed Hurricanes69c710$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.13560%21 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Flyers30c647.97$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41dc…6bbebacked Flyers32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003641.7%15 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Flyers32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Hurricanes69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Hurricanes67c571.54$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5423148.9%113 W · 118 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Hurricanes72c561.28$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.845954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hurricanes69c556.37$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5422853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Hurricanes68c519.7$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.182365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Hurricanes67c519.4$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6947753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Hurricanes68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.717957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Flyers32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf500…958dbacked Hurricanes69c495.01$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.012166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Flyers24c476.88$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1134131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Flyers33c456.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.511243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Hurricanes68c443$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7631148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Hurricanes67c439.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4133554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.