TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$504,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$505,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes47c352,335$164,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,440.620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flyers53c200,000$106,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,00040351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Flyers53c137,371$72,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,806.6913841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Flyers55c50,050$27,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,43714650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Flyers54c45,526$24,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,578.781,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hurricanes47c23,617$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,517.0837754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Hurricanes45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0006352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Flyers53c19,453$10,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,310.0210545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hurricanes47c15,655$7,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,301.249260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Hurricanes45c11,531$5,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,344.8120756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hurricanes47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.318853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hurricanes47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.2933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Flyers56c7,143$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Flyers56c6,990$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.315949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Hurricanes46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.962343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes45c5,062$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.3128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes44c4,278$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.521,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Flyers53c2,973$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.6983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Flyers54c2,400$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.3176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes43c2,293$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.510743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Hurricanes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.734555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Hurricanes47c1,545$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.687761%47 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers54c1,534$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.61,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Flyers53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9958352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Flyers56c1,156$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.4317761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Flyers54c1,120$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Flyers54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9734845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Flyers17c1,000$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4911949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Flyers55c894$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.731848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flyers47c733.7$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.152,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Flyers53c704.92$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755364.2%34 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Hurricanes44c660$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.69757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Flyers55c604.62$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers51c595.15$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.852,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Hurricanes47c578.82$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.6215554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hurricanes75c524$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.531,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Flyers55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27532648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Flyers53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26516546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hurricanes47c474.19$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0122853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Hurricanes44c457.68$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Hurricanes45c453.13$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3133554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Flyers54c448.7$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2426254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Hurricanes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5315051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Hurricanes47c400.22$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.710357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Hurricanes46c380.09$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.259457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Flyers55c373.55$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Hurricanes46c360$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.424442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Flyers54c343.01$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Flyers54c306.68$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Hurricanes47c302.57$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3614052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Flyers56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.520350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Hurricanes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683040%12 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Hurricanes47c296.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.242669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Hurricanes47c274.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.242669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Flyers39c257.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004557.8%26 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Hurricanes45c244.4$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5112733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Hurricanes62c235$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2245069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Flyers55c234.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2314653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae0…fe76backed Flyers8c218.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ce…cc35backed Hurricanes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Hurricanes47c215.51$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2213855.1%76 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Hurricanes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Hurricanes47c211.49$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.093666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Hurricanes47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.453847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f12…c916backed Hurricanes47c209.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.32657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Flyers25c203.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Hurricanes49c202.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.183551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Flyers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Flyers42c176.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9365721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Flyers55c173.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5922946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers28c168.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.163,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Hurricanes44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Flyers54c159.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0347753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers26c156.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.091,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Hurricanes45c151$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.053060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Hurricanes45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.56142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Flyers56c149.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2543250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Hurricanes47c145$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.854141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Flyers20c110.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1841050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa985…a8b6backed Hurricanes45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Hurricanes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.716054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Hurricanes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018b…0115backed Hurricanes46c107.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Hurricanes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3819153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Flyers15c101$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Hurricanes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…359ebacked Hurricanes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Hurricanes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Flyers55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5597955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Flyers53c99.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9912947.3%61 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Flyers53c97.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.652944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Flyers30c93.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9447024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf3e…5d6cbacked Hurricanes44c92.81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Flyers26c92.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.074452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Flyers56c92.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flyers53c89.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.361,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Hurricanes44c79.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5521243.4%92 W · 120 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Hurricanes47c78.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3516454.9%90 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.