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Wallet 0xce71…54c9

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$16,523 staked over 378 qualified picks in 21 categories, 11 of 21 below 50.

63

Best category

Serie A

$679 staked over 23 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.11 per pick.

See the full Serie A board
56

Second best

Ligue 1

$312 staked over 13 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Ligue 1 board
56

Third best

Premier League

$353 staked over 15 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full Premier League board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$751.17 tailing 23 Serie A picks (15 W · 8 L) at $50 each: +65.3% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Serie A picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category21 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$679before 0%in play 100%, over 23 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start1 h 39to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.2397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.5+0.2441c+65.3%63
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)25c$15+300%+$45
Oct 17, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: AS Roma O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$20+244.8%+$49.69
Oct 17, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$37+117.4%+$43.2
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$21+233.3%+$49
Oct 17, 2026, EDTVenezia FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$27-100%-$27
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$25-100%-$24.5
Oct 11, 2026, EDTCagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$27-100%-$27
Oct 11, 2026, EDTUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$17+185.7%+$32.5
Sep 14, 2026, EDTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$33+81.8%+$27
Sep 14, 2026, EDTUdinese Calcio leading at halftime?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$27+122.2%+$33
Sep 13, 2026, EDTUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$20+244.8%+$49.7
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$11-100%-$11.2
Sep 12, 2026, EDTAtalanta BC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$26-100%-$26.4
Sep 5, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$16+212.5%+$33.99
Sep 5, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: AS Roma O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$25+104.1%+$25.5
Sep 5, 2026, EDTFC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$25+104.1%+$25.5
Aug 29, 2026, EDTJuventus FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$26+96.1%+$24.5
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$33+81.8%+$27
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$25+117.4%+$29.69
Apr 26, 2026, EDTAC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$44-100%-$43.5
Jan 8, 2026, ESTWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$100+56.3%+$56.52
Jan 8, 2026, ESTWill AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$49-100%-$49.3
Oct 28, 2025, EDTAtalanta vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$30-100%-$30.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$312before 0%in play 100%, over 13 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start1 h 01to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.1275% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1+0.1638c+18.3%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTRC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$25+177.8%+$44.8
Oct 17, 2026, EDTRC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$25+104.1%+$25.5
Sep 20, 2026, EDTOlympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$25+104.1%+$25.5
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$26-100%-$25.5
Sep 3, 2026, EDTToulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$30-100%-$30.1
Sep 3, 2026, EDTToulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$15-100%-$15.3
Aug 28, 2026, EDTLille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$55+81.8%+$45
Aug 28, 2026, EDTLille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$15-100%-$15
Aug 28, 2026, EDTLille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$26+170.3%+$44.1
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$15-100%-$15
Aug 23, 2026, EDTParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$20+100%+$20
Aug 23, 2026, EDTParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$25+100%+$25
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$11-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$353before 0%in play 100%, over 15 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 20 after the start4 h 07to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.1285% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0+0.1340c+34.3%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTAston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$37-100%-$37.1
Oct 24, 2026, EDTAston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$16-100%-$16.2
Oct 18, 2026, EDTNottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$27+122.2%+$33
Oct 18, 2026, EDTNottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$14-100%-$14.4
Oct 11, 2026, EDTLiverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$31+92.3%+$28.8
Oct 11, 2026, EDTLiverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$15+244.8%+$35.5
Oct 10, 2026, EDTArsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$26+172.6%+$44.32
Oct 10, 2026, EDTArsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)24c$17+316.7%+$53.2
Sep 18, 2026, EDTBrentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$34+104.1%+$35.7
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$28-100%-$27.6
Aug 29, 2026, EDTLiverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$24+104.1%+$25.5
Dec 8, 2024, ESTWill Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$21-100%-$21
Dec 7, 2024, ESTWill Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$28+58.4%+$16.64
Dec 5, 2024, ESTWill Brighton win on 2024-12-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$14-100%-$14.33
Dec 4, 2024, ESTWill Arsenal win on 2024-12-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$20-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Parlays Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT$432—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2+0.0734c+14.4%53
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 5, 2026, EDTChelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien: Chelsea FC O/U 3.5 AND Arsenal WFC vs. HB Køge: Arsenal WFC O/U 2.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)37c$25-100%-$25
Sep 24, 2026, EDTManchester United FC leading at halftime? AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)41c$25-100%-$25
Sep 20, 2026, EDTWill AC Milan win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)57c$25+75.9%+$18.97
Sep 18, 2026, EDTReal Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 AND FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)19c$15-100%-$15
Sep 18, 2026, EDTWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? AND Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-04?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)49c$25-100%-$25
Sep 9, 2026, EDTReal Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 AND Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)52c$25-100%-$25
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)23c$25-100%-$25
Sep 5, 2026, EDTSV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5 AND FC Energie Cottbus vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)25c$20-100%-$20
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)49c$25+106%+$26.5
Aug 13, 2026, EDTDota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Dota 2: BoomBoys vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage6 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)28c$35+263%+$92.04
Jul 12, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)31c$25+225.4%+$55.85
Jul 9, 2026, EDTTunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 AND Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5 AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)21c$25-100%-$24.99
Jul 6, 2026, EDTNorway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 0.5 AND Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?6 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)20c$26-100%-$25.61
Jul 5, 2026, EDTBrazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)28c$25+259.4%+$64.83
Jul 5, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)25c$26-100%-$25.57
Jun 21, 2026, EDTWill Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)42c$36+135.9%+$48.39
Jun 19, 2026, EDTWill United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)36c$25+178.7%+$45.54
All 17 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
Ukraine Inactivelast settled Apr 23, 2025, EDT$30—no start of play3 dresells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.41100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4159c+69.5%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 23, 2025, EDTTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$30+69.5%+$20.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Mar 4, 2026, EST$239—no start of play10 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.40102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.3961c+63.9%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 4, 2026, ESTWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$239+63.9%+$152.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT$1,540before 2%in play 98%, over 45 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 48 after the start1 h 07to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 43 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.0+0.0242c-8%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 11, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$25-100%-$25
Oct 11, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$21-100%-$20.9
Oct 9, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LGD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$20-100%-$20
Oct 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matcheson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$28-100%-$28
Oct 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifieron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1winWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$29+72.4%+$21
Oct 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$29+75.4%+$21.5
Oct 2, 2026, EDTDota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group Con Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OGWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$25+100%+$25
Oct 2, 2026, EDTDota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$29-100%-$29
Oct 2, 2026, EDTDota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$51+78.2%+$39.5
Oct 2, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LGD GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$25+85.2%+$21.16
Sep 25, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team NemesisLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$23-100%-$23.4
Sep 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Conventus StellarumLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$35-100%-$35.1
Sep 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab) Pipsqueak+4Lost (open this pick on its own page)37c$37-100%-$37
Sep 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Pibbles CorpLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$36-100%-$36.4
Sep 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1winWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$36+150%+$54
Sep 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$49-100%-$49.28
Sep 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GamerLegionWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$49+104.1%+$51
Sep 20, 2026, EDTDota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab) Pipsqueak+4Won (open this pick on its own page)36c$47+177.8%+$83.2
Sep 20, 2026, EDTDota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AuroraLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$57-100%-$57
Sep 20, 2026, EDTDota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Conventus StellarumLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$52-100%-$52
Sep 20, 2026, EDTDota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PlayTimeLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$48-100%-$48
Sep 17, 2026, EDTDota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nemiga GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$45-100%-$45
Aug 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TEAM VISIONLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$65-100%-$65.4
Aug 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$55+83.5%+$45.5
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Iron WingLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$24-100%-$23.9
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast settled Feb 24, 2025, EST$288—no start of play10 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.13100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.3+0.1337c-32.4%51
UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT$51—too few: 2 picks3 h 45to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.03116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.1+0.0347c-5.7%50
La Liga Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$332—too few: 7 picks2 h 56to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.01392% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 392% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)742.9%3 W · 4 L0.00.0043c-0.8%50
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$855before 8%in play 92%, over 26 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start2 h 19to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.10.0039c-5%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDTFC Porto vs. PSV: FC Porto O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$28-100%-$27.6
Oct 20, 2026, EDTFC Porto vs. PSV: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$15-100%-$15
Oct 20, 2026, EDTFC Porto vs. PSV: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$31-100%-$31.2
Oct 20, 2026, EDTLiverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$28+117.4%+$32.4
Oct 14, 2026, EDTReal Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$22-100%-$22
Oct 14, 2026, EDTReal Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)23c$16+334.8%+$53.89
Oct 14, 2026, EDTReal Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$25+100%+$25
Oct 14, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$25+203%+$50.25
Oct 14, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$26+96.1%+$24.5
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$25-100%-$25.2
Oct 13, 2026, EDTFC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$23+203%+$46.9
Oct 13, 2026, EDTFC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$35+127.3%+$44.8
Oct 13, 2026, EDTFC Bayern München leading at halftime?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$23-100%-$23.2
Oct 13, 2026, EDTViking FK leading at halftime?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$50-100%-$50
Oct 13, 2026, EDTViking FK vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$11-100%-$11.2
Oct 13, 2026, EDTViking FK vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$31+92.3%+$28.79
Oct 13, 2026, EDTViking FK vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$16-100%-$16
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$28+81.8%+$22.5
Sep 10, 2026, EDTManchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 9.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$26-100%-$26
Sep 10, 2026, EDTFC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$36+122.2%+$44
Sep 10, 2026, EDTManchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 11.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$15-100%-$15
Sep 10, 2026, EDTManchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$55+81.8%+$45
Apr 8, 2026, EDTFC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$74-100%-$74
Sep 18, 2025, EDTWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$20-100%-$20
Apr 16, 2025, EDTWill Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$100-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$6,962before 49%in play 51%, over 101 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start8 h 53to the end, median over 186 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)11441.2%47 W · 67 L-0.20.0041c-10.6%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTKings vs. Devils: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$24-100%-$23.79
Oct 24, 2026, EDTKings vs. Devilson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DevilsWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$22+170.3%+$37.8
Oct 21, 2026, EDTKHL: Spartak Moscow vs. CSKA Moscowon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CSKA MoscowLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$48-100%-$48.49
Oct 21, 2026, EDTKHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Torpedoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TorpedoWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$41+167%+$68.79
Oct 21, 2026, EDTKHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Shanghai Dragonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Severstal CherepovetsLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$41-100%-$41.4
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCanucks vs. Lightningon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LightningWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$34+75.4%+$25.8
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpread: Lightning (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LightningWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$16+212.5%+$34
Oct 17, 2026, EDTHurricanes vs. Jetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HurricanesWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$26+132.6%+$34.2
Oct 17, 2026, EDTHurricanes vs. Jets: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$16-100%-$16.5
Oct 12, 2026, EDTKHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. HC Sochion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ak Bars KazanLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$23-100%-$23.2
Oct 12, 2026, EDTKHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Neftekhimik NizhnekamskLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$36-100%-$35.8
Oct 10, 2026, EDTSpread: Bruins (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BruinsWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$24+108.3%+$26
Oct 9, 2026, EDTKHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. CSKA Moscowon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CSKA MoscowWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$26+92.3%+$23.99
Oct 6, 2026, EDTKHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Severstal Cherepovetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SKA St. PetersburgLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$40-100%-$40.24
Oct 4, 2026, EDTJets vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$26-100%-$26.5
Oct 4, 2026, EDTKHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Barys Astanaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Barys AstanaWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$22+177.8%+$38.39
Oct 4, 2026, EDTKHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Sibir Novosibirskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Neftekhimik NizhnekamskWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$25+177.8%+$44.8
Oct 3, 2026, EDTKHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Admiral Vladivostokon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SKA St. PetersburgWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$27+81.8%+$22.49
Sep 22, 2026, EDTKHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Barys Astanaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HC Dynamo MoscowLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$26-100%-$25.8
Sep 22, 2026, EDTKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Avtomobilist YekaterinburgLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$24-100%-$24
Sep 22, 2026, EDTKHL: Torpedo vs. Avangard Omskon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Avangard OmskLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$36-100%-$36.1
Sep 20, 2026, EDTKHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Barys Astanaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lokomotiv YaroslavlLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$25-100%-$25.11
Sep 19, 2026, EDTKHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscowon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HC Dynamo MoscowLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$16-100%-$16
Sep 19, 2026, EDTKHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Severstal Cherepovetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Severstal CherepovetsLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$16-100%-$15.6
Sep 16, 2026, EDTKHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Ak Bars Kazanon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Salavat Yulaev UfaLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$27-100%-$26.5
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast settled May 1, 2026, EDT$803—no start of play5 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.1-0.0353c-26.5%50
Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$210—too few: 5 picks1 h 27to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)540%2 W · 3 L-0.2-0.0343c-6.9%49
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$611before 4%in play 96%, over 25 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start3 h 08to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2540%10 W · 15 L-0.6-0.0343c-0.1%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTGil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto: FC Porto O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$25-100%-$24.59
Oct 24, 2026, EDTGil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$19-100%-$19.2
Oct 24, 2026, EDTGil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$36-100%-$35.7
Oct 17, 2026, EDTGençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$24+105.3%+$25.65
Oct 11, 2026, EDTSport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$28-100%-$28.2
Oct 11, 2026, EDTSport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$15-100%-$15
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$27-100%-$27
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$26+92.3%+$24
Oct 10, 2026, EDTCS Marítimo vs. FC Porto: FC Porto O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$16-100%-$16.2
Oct 10, 2026, EDTCS Marítimo vs. FC Porto: FC Porto O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$36+92.3%+$33.59
Oct 10, 2026, EDTFeyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$26-100%-$26
Oct 10, 2026, EDTFeyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$36-100%-$35.7
Oct 10, 2026, EDTFeyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$14-100%-$14
Oct 9, 2026, EDTSC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$25+156.4%+$39.65
Oct 9, 2026, EDTSC Braga vs. Sporting CP: Sporting CP O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)19c$15+426.3%+$64.8
Sep 14, 2026, EDTSC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$22-100%-$21.7
Sep 14, 2026, EDTSC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: SC Braga O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$25+96.1%+$24.49
Sep 14, 2026, EDTGaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$14-100%-$14.4
Sep 13, 2026, EDTFC Famalicão vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$36+96.1%+$34.3
Sep 13, 2026, EDTFC Famalicão vs. Sporting CP: Sporting CP O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$28-100%-$27.99
Sep 11, 2026, EDTAZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$26+96.1%+$24.5
Sep 4, 2026, EDTFC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$27-100%-$26.99
Aug 30, 2026, EDTWill Randers FC win on 2026-08-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$18+52.9%+$9.52
Aug 30, 2026, EDTWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$31-100%-$31.2
Aug 23, 2026, EDTFC Porto vs. FC Arouca: FC Porto O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)26c$16+284.6%+$44.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast settled Nov 2, 2025, EST$73—no start of play19 h 21to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.44no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.4444c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Nov 2, 2025, ESTWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$73-100%-$73.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast settled May 18, 2026, EDT$50—too few: 1 pick6 h 27to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.48no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.4545c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 18, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chennai Super KingsLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$50-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$562before 11%in play 89%, over 18 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start1 h 43to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4-0.0836c-21.5%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTBV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$20-100%-$19.8
Oct 24, 2026, EDTBV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$34-100%-$33.6
Oct 17, 2026, EDT1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$10-100%-$10
Oct 17, 2026, EDT1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$16-100%-$16.2
Sep 5, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$29-100%-$28.8
Sep 5, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FC Bayern MünchenLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$37-100%-$36.9
Sep 5, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FC Bayern MünchenLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$48-100%-$48
Sep 5, 2026, EDTFC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$29-100%-$29.4
Sep 5, 2026, EDTFC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$41-100%-$40.79
Sep 5, 2026, EDTFC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$15-100%-$15
Sep 5, 2026, EDTFC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$15-100%-$14.7
Aug 30, 2026, EDT1. FC Magdeburg vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$20+244.8%+$49.7
Aug 29, 2026, EDTSV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$48+108.3%+$52
Aug 29, 2026, EDTSV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$16-100%-$16.1
Aug 29, 2026, EDTSV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$28+112.8%+$31.8
May 2, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$49-100%-$49.5
Apr 4, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$58+244.8%+$142
Apr 4, 2026, EDTSC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$49+203%+$99.68
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT$109—too few: 3 picks3 h 58to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.37no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)30%0 W · 3 L-1.2-0.3939c-100%45
Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT$418before 6%in play 94%, over 18 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start3 h 09to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.1-0.1239c-26.3%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 22, 2026, EDTGetafe CF vs. FC Lugano: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$24+228.9%+$55.67
Oct 15, 2026, EDTGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$25-100%-$25.2
Oct 15, 2026, EDTGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$20-100%-$19.6
Oct 15, 2026, EDTGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$16-100%-$16
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC: Sunderland AFC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$17+244.8%+$42.59
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$35+156.4%+$54.9
Sep 17, 2026, EDTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$27-100%-$27
Sep 17, 2026, EDTOFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$24-100%-$24
Sep 17, 2026, EDTOFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$15-100%-$15
Sep 17, 2026, EDTOFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$51-100%-$51
Sep 16, 2026, EDTSunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$14-100%-$14
Sep 16, 2026, EDTSunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$26-100%-$26
Aug 27, 2026, EDTWill Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-08-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$15-100%-$14.5
Aug 27, 2026, EDTInter Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Drita: O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$28-100%-$28.2
Aug 27, 2026, EDTFC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$26+92.3%+$24
Aug 6, 2026, EDTFC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$17-100%-$16.5
Nov 28, 2024, ESTWill Frankfurt beat FC Midtjylland?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$18+104.1%+$18.73
Nov 28, 2024, ESTWill Lazio beat Ludogorets?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$20-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT$1,612before 22%in play 78%, over 32 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min after the start2 h 11to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3724.3%9 W · 28 L-5.1-0.1438c-44.6%41
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWill Messi score 3+ goals vs. Benin?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$16-100%-$16
Oct 3, 2026, EDTRussia vs. Namibia: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$24+108.3%+$26
Oct 3, 2026, EDTRussia vs. Namibia: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$185+142.5%+$263.61
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$60-100%-$59.94
Jul 19, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$24-100%-$24.45
Jul 15, 2026, EDTWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$150-100%-$150.15
Jul 14, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$36-100%-$35.75
Jul 14, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$11-100%-$10.8
Jul 14, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$15-100%-$15.5
Jul 14, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$27-100%-$26.5
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$254-100%-$254
Jul 11, 2026, EDTNorway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$26+88.7%+$23.5
Jul 11, 2026, EDTWill England win on 2026-07-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$24-100%-$24.38
Jul 11, 2026, EDTNorway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$15-100%-$15
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$25+112.8%+$28.09
Jul 6, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$28-100%-$27.5
Jul 6, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$16-100%-$16.2
Jul 5, 2026, EDTBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NorwayWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$25+233.3%+$58.09
Jun 29, 2026, EDTWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$102-100%-$102
Jun 28, 2026, EDTWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$36+96.1%+$34.3
Jun 28, 2026, EDTSpread: Canada (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanadaLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$15-100%-$15
Jun 28, 2026, EDTSouth Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$26-100%-$25.8
Jun 28, 2026, EDTSouth Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$11-100%-$11.2
Jun 26, 2026, EDTKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$50-100%-$50
Jun 26, 2026, EDTKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$25-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.