Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16326fdefe05291e7fe07a8a5b76196cb0f84d9dad0dddf93dd459ede211a47e

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $585,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $656,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 865 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No	44c	112,931$49,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,356.46	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	56c	110,162$62,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,033.08	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No	64c	54,018$34,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,446.54	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No	44c	53,065$23,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,805.16	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes	55c	31,693$17,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,463.93	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+86%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes	54c	25,883$13,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,849.64	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	45c	22,987$10,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,635.09	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	47c	22,959$10,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,103.93	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	54c	22,171$11,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,201.11	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No	43c	20,000$8,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,399.94	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	44c	12,000$5,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,719.98	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	45c	11,143$4,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,156.95	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked No	47c	11,112$5,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,889.43	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	54c	9,777$5,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,288.55	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	45c	8,728$3,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,802.54	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes	36c	8,603$3,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,080.23	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	39c	8,500$3,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,313.27	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	57c	8,271$4,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,547.97	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	56c	8,084$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	224	48.2%108 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	45c	8,046$3,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,397.12	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	52c	7,500$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes	56c	7,100$4,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,006.99	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	+99.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd190…2650backed Yes	57c	5,528$3,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150.96	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cb…4fd8backed Yes	54c	5,412$2,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,927.03	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes	31c	5,255$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.53	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.93	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked No	46c	4,306$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,306.31	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	45c	4,200$1,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,288.88	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Yes	55c	3,852$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…83f5backed Yes	54c	3,581$1,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,929.91	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	55c	3,511$1,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,928.4	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No	47c	3,499$1,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.65	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf15f…4497backed Yes	55c	3,379$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3cb…2526backed Yes	30c	3,288$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes	29c	3,262$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.05	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed No	47c	3,173$1,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.56	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes	57c	3,163$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	32c	2,796$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.82	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…fd20backed Yes	55c	2,729$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b7…df15backed Yes	56c	2,679$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes	56c	2,660$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.81	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked Yes	59c	2,500$1,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,477.71	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes	34c	2,500$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.99	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+8.0wins	+0.21per pick	37cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked No	44c	2,450$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,372	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	55c	2,442$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108.94	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes	54c	2,407$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…b4a9backed Yes	36c	2,372$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.02	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Yes	36c	2,329$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.82	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb6…099fbacked No	46c	2,160$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.33	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	47c	2,072$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.08	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No	48c	2,008$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,044.16	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a72…d306backed Yes	54c	1,943$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.47	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked No	46c	1,900$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.88	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No	39c	1,822$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,106.34	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Yes	29c	1,800$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Yes	55c	1,793$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.16	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes	56c	1,786$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes	57c	1,781$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.57	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Yes	55c	1,772$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.67	16	87.5%14 W · 2 L	+3.7wins	+0.23per pick	64cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes	54c	1,750$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes	64c	1,680$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.67	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Yes	45c	1,660$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes	29c	1,600$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.74	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes	28c	1,500$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+30%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes	62c	1,469$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.5	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…9c9dbacked Yes	56c	1,429$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe62c…97e1backed Yes	54c	1,313$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.81	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4715…6efbbacked Yes	54c	1,303$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	55c	1,250$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.5	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Yes	54c	1,250$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Yes	57c	1,228$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes	50c	1,196$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Yes	25c	1,141$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.99	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd338…ae5bbacked Yes	56c	1,110$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	125	57.6%72 W · 53 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33a…a018backed Yes	63c	1,097$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.16	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	57c	1,076$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.22	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x355f…1847backed Yes	28c	1,071$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	105	43.8%46 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes	56c	1,071$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac48…2febbacked Yes	57c	1,052$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…33c1backed Yes	38c	1,052$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.62	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes	53c	1,038$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Yes	56c	999.99$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes	56c	999.99$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes	56c	999.99$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	56c	999.98$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	54c	999.74$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.7	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked No	47c	987.97$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.62	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes	55c	986.22$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.88	111	55%61 W · 50 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf697…c72cbacked Yes	55c	976.75$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.21	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8baa…f299backed Yes	58c	955.84$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked No	46c	944.95$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.27	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes	54c	944.44$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	264	38.6%102 W · 162 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…9c27backed Yes	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Yes	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	54c	928.15$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.2	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Yes	55c	909.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsthis page
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes won
Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goalsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shotsYes won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shotsYes won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes won
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Marcus Thuram: 1+ assistsNo won
Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsYes won
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsYes won
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event