Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264da9fbfc2a1d3a4ab81282e9690a02759f0a00eccf4fe079fe3e85431354e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40a0…829fbacked Yes | 78c | 3,193$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 23c | 3,124$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.3 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked No | 50c | 1,488$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.57 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 70c | 826.88$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Yes | 43c | 526.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…7745backed Yes | 40c | 473.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.67 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 34c | 423.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 23c | 416.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 79c | 331.45$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2a…c1fabacked Yes | 44c | 299.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 21c | 249.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 20c | 248.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 46c | 216.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4a59backed No | 79c | 189.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…7d21backed Yes | 42c | 185.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…ef7cbacked Yes | 51c | 155.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 135.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 133.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 51c | 122.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 77c | 115$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…a720backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…ee0dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 27c | 96.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yes | 30c | 83.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Yes | 49c | 76.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963c…3122backed Yes | 50c | 74.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…892dbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…07eebacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yes | 27c | 54.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…e9d0backed Yes | 48c | 51.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 55c | 49.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…2dd6backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…b2f5backed Yes | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6d75backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 30.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…1d65backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsthis page
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.