TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No68c4,135$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.192,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No69c3,255$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.692,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes30c2,319$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.685729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes40c2,067$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.057943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes28c905.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes24c740.79$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.59033.3%30 W · 60 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes29c736.04$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.457636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c665.02$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.972,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No69c537.43$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.189767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Yes29c510.34$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1483234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c508.99$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.612,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14012875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebda…5208backed Yes29c482.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No69c403.66$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.542,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes25c400.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…9963backed Yes26c394.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.62520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No71c385.03$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6629646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…25a8backed Yes29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9820638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No74c337.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8518848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes29c318.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4415448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.514252.1%74 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed No70c247.63$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.294643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4715…6efbbacked Yes29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703342.4%14 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No68c237.32$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8272247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…a89ebacked Yes29c224.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No71c213.03$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.781,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes29c200.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3314116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes29c190$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.17044.3%31 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5531435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x655e…610dbacked Yes24c188.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-85.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05f0…a388backed Yes28c179.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505740.4%23 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012527.2%34 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c8…da70backed No73c137.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No71c135$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1528873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Yes29c134$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8614440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes29c126$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.549944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No71c108.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1937971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No71c105$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.823,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a5…40abbacked Yes40c100.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e0…53e6backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28205%1 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick23cpaid-91.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011447.4%54 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286835.3%24 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2923729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No71c99.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9914763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf183…7e8ebacked Yes27c99.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes29c98.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.511230.4%34 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd713…a342backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c89.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…d269backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd412…74edbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9136…eec3backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256233.9%21 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No78c83.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.227242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes26c77.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016836.9%62 W · 106 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes38c66.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259231.5%29 W · 63 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Yes29c57.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.757545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f6…3e59backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No69c52.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4420968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c28…eb7fbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…b720backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011417.5%20 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.620036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.836423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52fd…5e7fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Yes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.151637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No75c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No75c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2952…bcafbacked No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No68c25.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fd…19e7backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No71c14.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3443460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.