TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6c5…d269

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.16
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$233.09
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.73
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$265.84
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.78
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.62
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.27
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Malta win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$239.58
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.47
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$66.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$71.94
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.73
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.88
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.4
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.08
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrainbacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.77
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$112.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$97.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.