TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes24c137,638$32,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,958.8329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No76c60,280$45,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,467.242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c19,573$15,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.548,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c15,419$11,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.613,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes0c10,652$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc787…64e8backed No76c10,194$7,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c9,872$7,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.2565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c8,271$6,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.641,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c4,700$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11243618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No76c3,200$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes14c3,172$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.932,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No76c2,400$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57613059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c1,774$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.612,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes20c1,606$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3239714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No76c1,600$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No76c1,400$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28823057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfa…0738backed Yes1c1,125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes24c964.79$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.568343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked No76c868.42$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.428660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Yes19c814.05$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No76c774.75$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9433266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No76c699$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.764153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No80c643.46$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.938740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes22c603.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8326745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14423056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No77c554.95$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0914945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes18c549.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.993315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes24c536.32$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.721,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No76c480$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.216559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No76c480$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No76c461$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No76c452.53$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6145253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f39…7a21backed Yes16c414.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9618358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes22c386.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0442250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No77c379$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1728443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No76c373$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.541,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No76c368$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No76c336$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No76c320$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes22c309.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes15c306.77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5721640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No76c280$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.221657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No76c280$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.220360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes22c257$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.339727.8%27 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No76c242.65$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2411858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No76c240$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No76c240$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4f6bbacked No76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.373100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes20c190$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes15c165.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3825044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c164$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c164$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No76c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No76c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.415560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c5…d269backed Yes25c151.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c132$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.682,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No78c128$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.163083.3%25 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.813465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No76c107.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.118452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c107.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.541,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes19c101.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6613248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-63.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked No77c99.78$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No77c99.31$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No77c95.32$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes36c91.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No78c82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6620958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No76c78.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.95152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe868…958abacked Yes15c77.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No76c69.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6412948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes17c66.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No76c66.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8610652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes19c62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.497328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No67c60.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9816842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No76c58.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8633365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No77c58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4634155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No76c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4417255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No76c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No77c49.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No77c46.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.584557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.451681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No77c42.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7725866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.619460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdada…4e86backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ed…f691backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.