TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8c9…b92f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6471.9%46 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$76.91
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$68.42
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.27
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.71
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.49
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.71
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.58
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.72
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.55
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.41
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5843.1%25 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$11.58
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$32.29
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.3%+$24.19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$93.73
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$68.55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.89
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$4.24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+206.4%+$23.37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$27.25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+30%+$5.97
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.98
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.37
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.61
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.47
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$12.31
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.24
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.08
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.79
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.59
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.69
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$22.18
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$14.76
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Francavilla: Max Schoenhaus vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.44
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$8.18
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.46
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$17.12
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$9.27
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.31
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.32
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.08
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.42
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.91
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$25.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.41
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$40.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$38.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$9.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.