South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39d89732eff0f4cb44be97d36d19cfc2809a46e8cecc26fd690cbd4dafba1828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 44c | 22,500$10,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,491.15 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 14,444$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,944.22 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 10,863$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,018.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 6,053$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 55c | 5,515$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.25 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 57c | 3,515$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,542$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 55c | 2,272$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.6 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Yes | 56c | 2,104$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 2,095$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.21 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 52c | 2,035$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.34 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 1,910$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.1 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 41c | 1,901$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.25 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.84 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 56c | 1,021$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.92 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed No | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Yes | 49c | 938.1$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.7 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked No | 56c | 879.02$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 26c | 800$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 770.2$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 46c | 706.52$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.52 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes | 79c | 702.33$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 37c | 671.93$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.11 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 55c | 656.44$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.59 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 56c | 529.66$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…80ffbacked No | 35c | 478.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 25c | 473.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 44c | 465.06$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 456.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 55c | 454.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 44c | 447.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.69 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 46c | 377.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 375$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 57c | 354.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 34c | 354.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 55c | 330.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 59c | 321.42$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 33c | 299.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 55c | 294.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 22c | 280$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 57c | 263.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 25c | 258.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 26c | 244.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 55c | 244.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 46c | 242.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.79 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 221.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked No | 46c | 205.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 203.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…6277backed Yes | 55c | 176.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 31c | 166.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 25c | 163.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 57c | 149.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 35c | 141.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 55c | 134.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 64c | 134$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 45c | 124.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 55c | 115.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 45c | 114.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 55c | 112.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 55c | 111.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 44c | 111.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 56c | 108.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 42c | 108.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 61c | 99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 55c | 96.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 45c | 92.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 62c | 91.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 47c | 91.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 34c | 88.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 55c | 88.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 79c | 80.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…5b67backed Yes | 51c | 74.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 20c | 71.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 62c | 71.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 50c | 66.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 33c | 63.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 57.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.