South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd110ef07cee13e57b57e62e1e1c9a5309fa3c954a365a546931e61b3c23d2df8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed No | 2c | 8,122$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 52c | 6,829$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.56 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 5,052$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 4c | 3,963$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 3,144$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.87 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 1,859$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.75 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,706$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.64 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 1,386$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 79c | 1,173$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 8c | 1,021$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 1,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 1,001$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.94 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 3c | 720$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 21c | 612.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 22c | 543.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 14c | 404.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…09c7backed Yes | 66c | 294.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 231.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 146.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 45c | 138.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 117.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 55c | 117.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 10c | 114.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Yes | 25c | 114$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 50c | 111.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 72c | 108$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 73c | 107.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 25c | 101.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 67c | 96.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 36c | 94.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 23c | 77.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 70.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 27c | 56.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 31c | 55.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 46c | 53.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 48c | 53.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 49c | 49.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 77c | 40.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…f02cbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 47c | 39.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 27c | 37.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 76c | 30.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 75c | 27.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 46c | 25.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed No | 78c | 23.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 78c | 19.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 19.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 16.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.