TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc81…e072

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
251
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Mls at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$42.49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$20.47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$28.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+188%+$60.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$10.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.84
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$18.79
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$15.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+223.3%+$100.48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.72
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.47
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.43
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Ilinca Amariei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Croatia Open, Qualification: Norbert Gombos vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Croatia Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.8
Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Croatia Open, Qualification: Marko Topo vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$44.03
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osakabacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+277.7%+$170.51
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Katarina Zavatska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+308.3%+$185
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.61
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruudbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.01
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.38
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$117.99
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.34
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Antalya: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+1,028.5%+$205.7
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$12.26
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7.68
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.31
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$40.58
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Kraken vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.42
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+318.1%+$47.71
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+59.5%+$18.68
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.4%+$10.3
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+48.4%+$24.35
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+54.8%+$14.3
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.7%+$34.9
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+809.1%+$89.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+129.4%+$51.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+134.7%+$53.9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+261.9%+$64.18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+54.3%+$10.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+111.5%+$22.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+121.1%+$48.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+52.3%+$13.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pacers (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$42.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.02
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.05
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+77.4%+$18.91
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+341.3%+$187.89
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+167.3%+$24.99
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+106.4%+$18.07
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+57.1%+$18.12
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.84
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.62
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.9
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.7%+$46.07
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.84
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)backed Lillestrøm SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC København win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-23.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.85
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$18.11
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-56.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.66
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+101.5%+$29.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.7%+$15.95
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+41.1%+$16.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+40.3%+$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.