Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ee90755344e05a7f2e450b7b3702a6bf6be2d5d9115cc52d9342d2dda8eb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,389$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.72 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 17c | 1,349$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1e…66f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,088$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…bd3bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,041$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…5e65backed Yes | 19c | 892.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 12c | 741.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 13c | 713.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 18c | 566.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 555.89$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 16c | 551.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd833…ba96backed No | 65c | 502.83$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…1757backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 15c | 494.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 18c | 490.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 19c | 470.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 15c | 433.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 602 | 35.7%215 W · 387 L | +41.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 12c | 426.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…21f4backed Yes | 19c | 400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 24c | 395.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 72c | 389.72$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Yes | 23c | 387.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 16c | 360.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 17c | 263.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3ad7backed Yes | 19c | 236.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 21c | 234.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…e079backed Yes | 20c | 231.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 34c | 223.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 199.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 185.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 18c | 176.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 16c | 171.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 57c | 169.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…b749backed Yes | 37c | 164.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed No | 71c | 162.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 71c | 161.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a0…5254backed Yes | 10c | 147.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 13c | 143.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 247 | 10.5%26 W · 221 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03e…2365backed Yes | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…0a27backed Yes | 17c | 128.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 41c | 124.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…8a0abacked Yes | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 119.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 119.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 79c | 115.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…43bcbacked Yes | 14c | 115.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…4a5bbacked Yes | 39c | 108.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed Yes | 15c | 107.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…0c98backed Yes | 14c | 106$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed Yes | 35c | 105.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 104.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed No | 79c | 100.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…7b19backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ae…b4b9backed Yes | 15c | 97.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 18c | 96.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 95.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 20c | 95.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked No | 80c | 94.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…2e92backed Yes | 29c | 91.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Yes | 14c | 90.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…4af3backed Yes | 14c | 83.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed No | 76c | 81.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…1686backed Yes | 24c | 74.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 18c | 73.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…dcd8backed Yes | 17c | 71.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…a83dbacked Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…59cabacked Yes | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…b277backed No | 72c | 65.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…72e4backed Yes | 38c | 64.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed Yes | 43c | 64.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…846fbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 26c | 58.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…91d5backed Yes | 39c | 58.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 50c | 53.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 41c | 49.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 43c | 46.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…663dbacked Yes | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…4fb2backed No | 77c | 40.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 90 | 76.7%69 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…36b1backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…371ebacked Yes | 38c | 39.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…3ffbbacked No | 54c | 34.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…0c60backed No | 51c | 32.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 56c | 32.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…bac2backed Yes | 35c | 31.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…32eabacked Yes | 48c | 30.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed Yes | 41c | 30.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…0cd3backed Yes | 46c | 30.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…20d4backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaf…fbe1backed No | 56c | 24.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…59bbbacked No | 79c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.