TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b1e…cc93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT13058.5%76 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+2,384.4%+$251.22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35%+$38.57
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$11.77
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$15.42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$10.56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$53.28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+770.4%+$97.95
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.65
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$13.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$24.78
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$3.77
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+70.2%+$417.23
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$108.08
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.1%+$17.4
Will JA21 win 13 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$42.92
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$57.9
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$99.3
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$108.38
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$4.2
Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+378.5%+$79.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.24
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$9.04
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Armenia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.03
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Moldova win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$18.46
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$28.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.02
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.53
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.07
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$49.99
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.7
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+258.6%+$576.74
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$40.06
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+89.1%+$26.74
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$20.14
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.2%+$28.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.