Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb906859a7e411731965ce85a12cf273cf638f1df4f87e46a74700af1d99c6f2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 13c | 15,676$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 3c | 8,491$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.33 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 79c | 7,828$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.73 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 4c | 6,323$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 6,149$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.22 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 5,728$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.21 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked No | 71c | 5,569$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.65 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 20c | 5,438$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.57 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 76c | 4,714$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.03 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…6b2ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,582$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…9d7cbacked Yes | 25c | 4,164$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 64c | 3,882$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.21 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…e038backed Yes | 40c | 3,779$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 25cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,700$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes | 29c | 3,466$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.18 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 3c | 3,350$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…478abacked Yes | 17c | 3,184$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 8c | 2,991$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 6c | 2,978$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 5c | 2,375$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed No | 69c | 2,177$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.1 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…3843backed Yes | 80c | 2,063$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…a4dfbacked Yes | 37c | 1,982$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 17c | 1,744$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,690$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 12c | 1,600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 13c | 1,546$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…206fbacked No | 79c | 1,406$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,366$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.49 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 25c | 1,354$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.69 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…951abacked Yes | 27c | 1,336$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.76 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 8c | 1,267$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…2b5bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,206$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacde…90b0backed No | 78c | 1,142$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 1,112$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…df8abacked Yes | 32c | 1,048$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 76c | 1,011$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…cd41backed Yes | 17c | 993$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…3b76backed No | 71c | 985.57$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 5c | 982.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…37a4backed Yes | 25c | 976.84$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 11c | 970.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…02b9backed Yes | 19c | 950$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…7fd3backed No | 79c | 943$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 5c | 934.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 14c | 907.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 29c | 876.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Yes | 25c | 863.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 10c | 828.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 19c | 803.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…98a6backed No | 59c | 790$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 59c | 789.13$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.72 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…b571backed Yes | 39c | 773.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 24c | 724.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…00dabacked Yes | 31c | 688.15$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…8be7backed Yes | 32c | 680.87$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 75c | 674.49$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 14c | 668.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.92 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 71c | 667.5$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 29c | 656.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 15c | 655.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 36c | 610.03$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.86 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 5c | 600.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 21c | 564.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 10c | 562$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 22c | 560$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 18c | 554.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed Yes | 12c | 550$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…2393backed No | 79c | 537.19$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…690abacked No | 80c | 530$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…42cabacked Yes | 25c | 520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 80c | 509.69$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Yes | 9c | 477$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 10c | 417$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 376.39$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 14c | 373$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 21c | 362.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 39c | 350$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…2fd4backed Yes | 25c | 331.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 56c | 328.46$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac4…53c9backed Yes | 20c | 316.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…17d2backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked No | 79c | 288$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…9bffbacked Yes | 10c | 286.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…74b4backed Yes | 32c | 253$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 252.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cb…2752backed No | 67c | 252.59$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 250.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…634fbacked Yes | 29c | 249.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 21c | 249.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…829ebacked Yes | 39c | 249.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…32f6backed Yes | 29c | 247.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…240abacked Yes | 24c | 245.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 244.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…27d2backed No | 76c | 236.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +207.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…f4acbacked No | 79c | 233.23$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…1c9dbacked Yes | 26c | 232.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.