TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bab…1292

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
407
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: AI, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category AI at 63 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9647.9%46 W · 50 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,535.84
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31,016Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$11,899.82
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,999.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$35,187.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62,641Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+266.9%+$167,194.87
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,340.83
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,308.68
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$269.69
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+382.1%+$8,806.53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+524.5%+$14,306.87
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$349.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$7,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,274.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65,071.83
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,012.87
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13,259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+159.5%+$21,152.86
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$7,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,065.59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,229.74
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,898Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,474.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,000.42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,917Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+319.2%+$9,311.39
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,827.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$1,241.24
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.62
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT6546.2%30 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,438.53
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,650
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,791Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+59.2%+$1,652.16
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$686.77
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+45.9%+$87.6
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,878.29
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$282.88
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$318.24
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19,685.48
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$88.51
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,150.99
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$61.58
Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$207.35
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+332.1%+$115.79
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.15
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+170.6%+$66.2
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$410.81
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+110.4%+$89.49
Will TikTok be banned before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.89
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$327.91
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.22
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$729.33
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+95.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,385.11
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$538.74
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,746.27
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.35
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,728.39
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+593.3%+$1,189.65
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$6,474.34
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,182.5
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$471.37
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,117.75
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+192.6%+$4,776.31
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,671Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,315.71
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,657Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.9%+$4,621.87
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$5,185.67
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,783Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+169.7%+$3,026.6
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,777.46
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,951.86
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+300.5%+$9,255.12
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,444.4
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55,917Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+124.9%+$69,840.28
Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+43%+$187.26
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,781.1
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16,134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+154.6%+$24,938.78
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42,150.13
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24,323Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+36%+$8,744.13
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,017Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.7%+$862.01
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.27
North Korea missile test by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$803.11
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.36
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,208.37
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,986Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$1,219.3
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.51
Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+400%+$75.97
Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.65
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29,281.57
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+190.8%+$658.41
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$147.06
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$125.08
Will Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+85.6%+$79
Will Trump congratulate Canada election winner by Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.82
Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.55
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47,710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$13,659.02
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+71.2%+$972.05
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12,872Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+70.1%+$9,020.92
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+43.1%+$68.63
Trudeau resigns by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$21.34
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+45.3%+$605.29
South Korean President impeached by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+27.1%+$255.19
Will Fuad Noman win the 2024 Belo Horizonte mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$25.16
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$14.65
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$1,689.09
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$490.27
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$4,792.65
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,165.6%+$10,573.86
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,312Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$1,412.15
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25,924Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+152.3%+$39,479.22
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52.67
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,517.65
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$37.68
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35,118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.3%+$14,871.13
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+48%+$1,505.7
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$903.25
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$2,000
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26,190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61%+$15,975.6
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$355.4
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$833.24
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$27.2
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$72.61
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+169.9%+$428.92
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$479.16
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+114.1%+$41.03
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.81
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.2
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,416.37
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$243.36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,942.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,184Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$685.89
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$620.83
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.47
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$635.77
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.83
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,066Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$1,710.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,221.65
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$197.73
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$9,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,748.65
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+89%+$2,557.96
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.1
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,009.64
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.63
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$3,652.8
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$1,043.58
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.02
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.91
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48,915Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$14,310.06
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$205.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+165%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+51.4%+$28.21
Will Kanye tweet 80-99 times on February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,484Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+91.5%+$5,936.13
Will Kanye tweet 140-159 times on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+3,362.5%+$1,345
Will Kanye tweet 60-79 times on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$44.88
Will Trump tweet 90 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$324.41
Will Trump tweet 40-44 times October 18-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 27-October 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.57
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+128.4%+$108.67
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+67.7%+$137.28
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.74
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.6
Trump posts 30-34 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$54.56
Trump posts 35-39 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.87
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$76.92
Trump posts 25-29 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.32
Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$243.63
Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+447.2%+$848.28
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$133.43
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,675Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$1,324.99
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,786.33
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$944.66
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,333.2
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$994.21
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$150
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+695.8%+$2,256.17
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,057Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+39.8%+$818.45
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$132
Powell says "inflation" 15+ times in FOMC statement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+75.3%+$254.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,903.63
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,521.33
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+102%+$2,229.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,111.57
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.33
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+412.3%+$561.71
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.79
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,381.95
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.97
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$303
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$12,641.38
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,857.73
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$1,547.87
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,690.99
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,111.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,778Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$7,333.26
Copa America: Uruguay vs. Brazil - Who will advance? backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$101.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+189.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-68.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,844Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$711
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$3,787.1
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$76,873.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,432.89
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$2,479.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,844Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$5,377.24
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+321.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+321.3%+$1,164.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+150%+$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high day after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,222.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it take Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a Hole in One?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$119.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.