World Politics · resolved market
Yoon arrested by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ea3f7c908e2ada980dd88221c7d02f756a56749f24089afb6e674d024c8e49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,903,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,115,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,903,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7edb…e741backed No | 6c | 150,142$9,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,503.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…df83backed No | 63c | 123,467$78,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,027.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 42c | 120,649$50,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,351.8 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed No | 30c | 74,854$22,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,714.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 34c | 49,173$16,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,781.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 62c | 36,258$22,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,755.65 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 73c | 35,810$26,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,521.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 62c | 31,857$19,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,186.02 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 40c | 29,891$11,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,992.18 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked Yes | 61c | 29,282$17,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,494.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 3c | 29,029$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 41c | 27,941$11,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,407.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 48c | 26,360$12,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,747.43 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 58c | 25,716$14,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,793.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 73c | 25,185$18,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,815.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 38c | 23,623$8,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,752.72 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…3923backed No | 9c | 23,038$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…d2b9backed No | 9c | 22,916$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 59c | 21,893$12,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,020.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked No | 0c | 19,850$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 1c | 19,429$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.21 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 33c | 17,776$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,939.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…9d82backed No | 43c | 16,809$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 75c | 15,739$11,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.82 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed No | 66c | 15,028$9,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,912.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 67c | 14,908$9,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.75 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…9f51backed No | 66c | 14,629$9,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,655.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +953.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…f324backed Yes | 31c | 12,659$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,771.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 55c | 12,189$6,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,682.48 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed No | 26c | 10,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 47c | 8,989$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 4c | 8,972$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…118fbacked Yes | 69c | 8,890$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 38c | 8,764$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.69 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 65c | 8,589$5,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.7 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 45c | 8,083$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 36c | 7,906$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…372bbacked No | 65c | 7,769$5,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed Yes | 48c | 7,747$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 49c | 7,407$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 76c | 7,278$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.78 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 36c | 6,380$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 62c | 6,314$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…fa68backed No | 46c | 6,224$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…1c53backed No | 66c | 5,928$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…e48dbacked No | 33c | 5,840$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…f334backed Yes | 44c | 5,810$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 72c | 5,751$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.64 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…c9fdbacked No | 65c | 5,493$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 68c | 5,445$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 39c | 5,408$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed Yes | 61c | 5,402$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.7 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.58 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 28c | 4,934$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.81 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 37c | 4,383$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 54c | 4,177$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 41c | 3,975$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.57 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…d8b9backed No | 64c | 3,906$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 80c | 3,699$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…2e19backed Yes | 29c | 3,550$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a4…ded3backed Yes | 47c | 3,538$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 75c | 3,165$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.53 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed Yes | 56c | 3,159$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…929ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,138$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa699…785fbacked Yes | 63c | 3,078$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked No | 67c | 3,064$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.66 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…f256backed No | 71c | 2,987$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked No | 68c | 2,981$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed Yes | 59c | 2,970$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed No | 55c | 2,937$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…fe1abacked Yes | 41c | 2,868$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 63c | 2,814$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.07 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…3a02backed Yes | 38c | 2,796$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked Yes | 44c | 2,712$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.91 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 6c | 2,666$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.04 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 8cpaid | +854.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,619$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.98 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…2143backed No | 71c | 2,606$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 6c | 2,600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 47c | 2,547$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.37 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…fbd7backed No | 23c | 2,520$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…44d7backed Yes | 56c | 2,399$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked No | 22c | 2,337$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…8e7fbacked No | 67c | 2,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…8c11backed No | 69c | 2,168$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…f5adbacked Yes | 49c | 2,120$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…be53backed No | 17c | 2,094$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4003…f1dabacked No | 60c | 2,053$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6612backed Yes | 44c | 2,052$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 24c | 2,038$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.17 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked No | 69c | 2,036$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…536bbacked No | 61c | 2,023$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2cf1backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.69 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…91a3backed No | 31c | 1,968$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…faaebacked No | 65c | 1,963$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 29c | 1,924$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…b5f9backed Yes | 67c | 1,878$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…0f63backed No | 79c | 1,869$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…8498backed Yes | 77c | 1,861$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.