TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4e25…d7a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,605
Categories scored
43
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT17633%58 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,087Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$751.27
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$107.76
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$674.06
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,734Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+60%+$5,236.87
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+27.5%+$85.2
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,031.6
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$648.89
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,280.58
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$367.2
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+345.4%+$1,191.1
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,031.58
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$121.68
Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.63
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$665.05
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$328.32
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.1%+$17.05
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,375.03
Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.52
Will Trump jail Elon Musk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$660.22
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.82
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT16537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$46.9
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.98
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.78
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.7
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$114.29
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,714.12
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$10,620
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$698.36
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.96
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$524.99
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed East · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,309.46
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.4
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,147.41
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14,346Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+64.5%+$9,254.32
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$7,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,469.06
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.5
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,354.64
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$505.81
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,746Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$1,908.6
Will Anthony Edwards Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.9
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32,400
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.78
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+575.9%+$650.48
Will Pacers vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,043.91
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT13941.7%58 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.66
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.24
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.09
Will Google reach $330 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will Google reach $320 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.88
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$279.86
Will Amazon dip to $192 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$146.88
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.06
Will Google dip to $275 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.35
Will Amazon dip to $200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.19
Will Google dip to $290 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.82
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $305?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$495.87
Will Google dip to $300 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$268.2
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31%+$688.64
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,348Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53%+$1,776.1
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+30.7%+$24.1
Will Meta dip to $600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.4%+$151.98
Will Meta reach $730 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+203%+$60.3
Will Tesla reach $450 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69%+$456.92
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+59.7%+$1,509.55
Will Google reach $385 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.6%+$90.34
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.4%+$198.78
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$581.97
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$229.24
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $90?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.4%+$481.84
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT13430.6%41 W · 93 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70.56
Will the New England Patriots win the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+39.4%+$22.36
Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.81
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$866.06
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$405.45
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+115.5%+$133.24
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+40.7%+$211.77
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$115.42
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$118.3
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$295.56
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,622Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25.6%+$415.2
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$903Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+39%+$352.69
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$101.16
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70.56
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+30.4%+$15.14
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+67%+$160.41
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$620.99
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100.4%+$1,992.24
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$367.2
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$99.12
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST11452.6%60 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+60.9%+$3,185.08
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$124.01
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$598.37
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,965Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.6%+$995.4
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+725.4%+$1,344.62
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,331Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+116.5%+$1,549.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,280.56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,524.2
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.2
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.45
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gamingbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$271.4
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$676.76
League of Legends: Karmine Corp vs. Team Vitalitybacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+30%+$272.4
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,741Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$776.69
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,517Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$552.6
League of Legends: T1 vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.15
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+135.7%+$725.4
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+346.4%+$419.04
League of Legends: FlyQuest vs. 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$376.43
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corpbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.2
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. EDward Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.09
League of Legends: Shopify Rebellion vs. 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$435.07
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,178Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+83.4%+$3,482.93
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Team Vitalitybacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.2
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT9833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.48
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+405.2%+$8,078.22
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$7,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,513.55
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,247.1
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.18
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.23
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.17
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.73
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$156.47
Auburn Tigers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,564.35
Ball State Cardinals vs. Akron Zipsbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$81.58
March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.83
Team from Midwest wins March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.34
March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+176.8%+$2,621.96
Team from West wins March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+328.3%+$457.92
Will a #1 seed win the NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.06
Team from East wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+96.9%+$581.27
March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.34
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+239.6%+$3,201.11
Will Duke win by 6+ points against Houston?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.11
Houston vs. Duke combine for 137+ points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.54
Team from South wins March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.64
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$989.52
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8450%42 W · 42 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,267.42
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+367.8%+$5,369.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,722.65
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,846Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$2,907.24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62%+$414.36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$2,236.45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,368.87
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,251.65
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,808Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$5,602.88
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31%+$63.9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.18
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,665Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$9,636.45
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,377Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$2,172.46
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$15,642.36
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33,544Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$10,705.98
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,350
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19,592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$6,988.92
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,942.89
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,008.62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79,794Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.8%+$22,164.12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24,140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+30.1%+$7,275.3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39,986Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.8%+$17,124.43
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST6540%26 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,592.32
Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$531.7
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$973.28
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,950
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.6%+$2,063.18
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.8%+$779.9
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$4,423.72
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$190.28
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$173.95
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$399.9
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$133.57
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$163.1
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$320.17
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.24
USC vs. Oregonbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$380.49
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$551.69
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,369.4
North Carolina vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,901Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.2%+$5,569.16
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,767.97
Northwestern vs. USCbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,050
Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,536.99
Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.59
Virginia vs. North Carolinabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$241.84
Rutgers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,133.71
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT4721.3%10 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.56
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.9
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$537.47
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$39.74
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,415.33
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,696.45
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.06
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,597.68
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,021.04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,094.59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$148.25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,894.55
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$188.45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13,684.91
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,120.12
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$77.08
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.9%+$132.6
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$326.1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$232.8
Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.75
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.37
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$333.13
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$598.85
Fed rate cut by October meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$586.88
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+1,934.6%+$546.41
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$3,742.32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$377.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$1,693.11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,872Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$580.21
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$312.09
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.8%+$241.14
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,677.76
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.7%+$443.81
Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.69
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,563Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.4%+$521.68
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.41
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.56
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$158.62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27,668Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.2%+$16,646.42
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.36
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$821.04
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Ukraine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.14
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.86
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.05
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.52
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.26
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$314.08
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$333.31
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST4443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers lose the World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30.6%+$104.04
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 MLB World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,476Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+50.3%+$3,255.15
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 MLB World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$337.04
World Series Winnerbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,746.31
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 MLB World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.36
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.5
Will the Seattle Mariners lose the World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$123.77
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+79.3%+$414.72
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$503
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.14
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$722.3
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.63
Will the Milwaukee Brewers lose the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.95
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 MLB World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will the Chicago Cubs be eliminated in the Division Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+70.1%+$54.68
Will the Chicago Cubs be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.26
Will the Detroit Tigers be eliminated in the Division Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$47.88
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the Division Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$127.6
Will the Philadelphia Phillies lose the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the Philadelphia Phillies be eliminated in the Division Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.27
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers be eliminated in the Division Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.02
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$95.82
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,806.39
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39,645
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,685.05
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,888.03
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.22
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$828.83
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.58
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$754.42
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$751.68
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.9
North Korea missile test by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$21.53
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+157.5%+$115.07
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$897.94
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.48
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.6
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.93
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$563.69
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13,327Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$6,450.84
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16,102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+52.6%+$8,476.75
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.49
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$1,397.68
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$460.78
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$427.83
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT4134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.37
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.9
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,538.56
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$444.77
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.04
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.76
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,948.13
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,211.7
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,284.43
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be Eastern Conference champions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$601.29
Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,389.1
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,665.8
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be Eastern Conference champions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$14.33
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.45
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$514.82
NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$118.73
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues (To Advance)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.34
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+82.1%+$255.72
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.2
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,841.13
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,102
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+186.8%+$2,169.64
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$414
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$676.91
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST4062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,412Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$2,213.88
Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$86.5
Will PSG win in regulation?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+101%+$63.58
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+131.1%+$743.2
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.66
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.32
Will PSG vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw after regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+47.7%+$16.25
Will PSG beat Bayern Munich in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$515.36
Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,503
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.87
PSG vs. Bayern Munich: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+144.2%+$1,438.23
Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$68.44
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$161.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Man City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,264.56
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$2,493.67
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,096Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$773.44
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$980.09
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,492.98
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+33%+$261.5
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$772.7
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Atlético Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.39
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+102.1%+$133.49
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,398.06
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4020%8 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.88
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,944Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$568.69
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+68%+$684.89
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.24
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,073.78
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,230.18
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27%+$534.11
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$651.07
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$307.23
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$936.46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$493.54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$387.36
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.5%+$943.97
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$617.7
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.58
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $370b and $380b on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$699.64
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $390b and $400b on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.66
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$932.17
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.33
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,399.13
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$45.12
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.89
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$196
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+297.2%+$846.89
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$692.28
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$75.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,282
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17,397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$5,142.07
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.61
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.08
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,092Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$969.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,523Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$1,818.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$1,144.07
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,618Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$2,348.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,742.3
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST3718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,119.01
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,244.03
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$917.25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,820Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$947.6
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$94.86
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$2,861.3
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$724.55
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$371.62
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,861.7
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.19
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+83.1%+$5,940.06
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$376.37
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,330.34
Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,788.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$434
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,527.02
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,670.64
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.04
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.73
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.92
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,605Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+123.1%+$4,438.09
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,897.92
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.73
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$81.5
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+214.4%+$2,036.25
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$700.34
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$859.83
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$442.76
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+273.8%+$329.61
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,296Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+89.8%+$2,061.72
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$551
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$422.01
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.42
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.8
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$313.21
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,603Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$1,449.66
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,874.88
June jobs report prints negative?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.02
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,191.73
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.93
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.65
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,121.79
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+63.4%+$2,445.11
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.71
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,685.5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,092.54
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$15.62
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+60%+$385.43
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$356.58
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$282.05
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,533.66
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$2,043.39
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,073Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+73%+$1,513.33
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$1,046.13
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$654.95
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+460.1%+$991.81
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+402.1%+$862.78
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.2%+$927.05
Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.06
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.1%+$64.5
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,329.71
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,354.3
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$604.16
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+48.6%+$319.52
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$410.9
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$907.43
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,857.39
Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will Eric Adams drop out first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,417.26
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.31
Will no one drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.54
Will the Senate confirm Ed Martin before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.79
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.95
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$448.69
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.8
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+85.4%+$204.51
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.66
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,376.3
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.83
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.91
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.66
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will Magnus Carlsen score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$5,032.16
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,732Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+47.6%+$7,012.42
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,671Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+28.9%+$1,638.02
Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,599Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+62.1%+$1,614.31
Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$327.61
Will Ding Liren win Game 12 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$206.79
Will Game 12 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$256.12
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$522.65
Will Game 11 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$246.66
Will Game 10 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+42.1%+$600.45
Will Game 9 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+53.8%+$94.5
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+34.3%+$229.07
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 245–259 times May 30–June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$31.99
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.04
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.41
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.81
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.7
Will Elon tweet 230-239 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.21
Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.03
Will Elon tweet 220-229 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.24
Will Elon tweet 250 or more times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.07
Will Elon tweet 180-189 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+538%+$61.61
Will Elon tweet 170-179 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.37
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.09
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$569.91
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$319.34
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Kanye tweet 100-119 times on February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+26.5%+$20.9
Will Kanye tweet 60-79 times on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.83
Will Kanye tweet less than 40 times on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will POTUS tweet 11-13 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+57.4%+$337.2
Will POTUS tweet 8-10 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+86%+$229.33
Will POTUS tweet 5-7 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$115.97
Will POTUS tweet less than 5 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.08
Will Andrew Tate tweet less than 160 times Jan 24-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$12.33
All 25 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$79.56
Fever vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,747.83
Sparks vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$531.11
Liberty vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,063.51
Fever vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$169.53
Mystics vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$490.76
Liberty vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8,471
Sky vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$486.6
Storm vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+872%+$902.27
Dream vs Mercurybacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$1,506.98
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,495Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$2,672.81
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.19
Mercury vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.96
Mystics vs Dreambacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$511.8
Liberty vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+606.7%+$322.33
Valkyries vs Mysticsbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+65.4%+$367.78
Mercury vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+245.9%+$111.82
Fever vs Skybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$330
Fever vs Libertybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.05
Mercury vs Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.11
Wings vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+29%+$3,266.66
Aces vs Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,101.92
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.67
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$21.79
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.88
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$465.23
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$59.26
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$809.84
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,179.87
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$492.74
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,004Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,055.18
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.86
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+145.3%+$369.38
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,930Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$6,533.96
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11,270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$6,517.37
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$254.46
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$971.06
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+191.3%+$589.04
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$2,069.91
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+74.8%+$295.47
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$401.3
Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$442.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,622Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+182.9%+$6,625.7
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,570Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+118.8%+$4,241.6
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$40.4
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.96
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,244.36
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,111.18
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.09
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$1,413.13
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$927.93
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$472.57
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.58
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$931.18
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Iga Swiatek win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+25%+$36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29,284.88
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,851Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90.7%+$1,678.86
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+191%+$736.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,585Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.8%+$2,502.91
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+250.6%+$1,704.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+373.3%+$1,348.72
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$252.95
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$8,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$8,882.6
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.42
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.41
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,169.37
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,398.75
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,813.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Poker — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rampage win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+106.7%+$161.72
Nik Airball vs. Kristen Foxen: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Kristen Foxen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,683Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+84%+$1,413.29
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+48.7%+$660.33
Will Peter be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.48
Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.53
Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Senor Tilt be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+27.5%+$370.02
HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.4%+$383.55
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradybacked Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$756
Shauna Bannon vs. Puja Tomarbacked Tomar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,890
Lemos vs. Lucindobacked Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,026
Morales vs. Smithbacked Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,053.27
Walker vs. Mayesbacked Mayes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$483
Matthews vs. Pradobacked Matthews · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,564Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$1,836
All 6 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-78.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+164.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tanzania vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+525%+$241.97
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$261.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$410.32
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$366.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$194.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Super Kings vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Chennai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,274.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,168.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.