World Politics · resolved market
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x914477a1f73a2dfb37122e5fbb2117db8d9656af85f4941e036e2fc3def9ede3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,112,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,981,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,112,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 52,508$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf106…ddd2backed Yes | 7c | 36,543$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…d882backed Yes | 8c | 25,788$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 5c | 23,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…5dcabacked Yes | 2c | 19,754$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2676…7b08backed Yes | 9c | 17,625$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 17,446$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…5312backed Yes | 0c | 16,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 4c | 16,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.9 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 5c | 15,555$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.75 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…3345backed Yes | 4c | 15,355$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 8c | 13,199$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…6af5backed Yes | 2c | 13,092$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 2c | 12,960$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2945…862ebacked Yes | 6c | 12,594$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 12,138$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…4194backed Yes | 0c | 11,761$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…e0f8backed Yes | 0c | 11,761$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…c794backed Yes | 1c | 11,761$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…3f6ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,761$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…46cbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,458$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…2715backed Yes | 4c | 11,269$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 5c | 11,110$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…25fcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,557$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…78afbacked Yes | 1c | 10,557$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 7c | 8,714$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…fb03backed Yes | 0c | 8,580$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…a9e8backed Yes | 12c | 7,600$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…567bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,075$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 6c | 7,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…1c20backed Yes | 1c | 6,990$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…5ddfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,929$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…3871backed Yes | 1c | 6,590$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f09…20e3backed Yes | 0c | 6,570$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7be7backed Yes | 3c | 6,528$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 5c | 6,350$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…f31abacked Yes | 0c | 6,271$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…7b6cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,936$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…da60backed Yes | 9c | 5,537$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…5967backed Yes | 1c | 5,400$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 4c | 5,246$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 5,198$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0f…a189backed Yes | 0c | 5,187$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9923…39e0backed Yes | 1c | 5,170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0a73backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…ca89backed Yes | 0c | 4,888$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…d15cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,793$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.08 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3470backed Yes | 4c | 4,646$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…e3a5backed Yes | 7c | 4,447$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 10c | 4,351$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.58 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…714cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,284$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d1…4c60backed Yes | 4c | 4,094$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…e41fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,997$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…822abacked Yes | 4c | 3,969$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…f102backed Yes | 9c | 3,889$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…f04fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,486$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…aba6backed Yes | 5c | 3,351$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…f75abacked Yes | 9c | 3,244$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ac…7164backed Yes | 5c | 3,195$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…8355backed Yes | 9c | 3,161$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 8c | 2,897$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260e…ee31backed Yes | 8c | 2,885$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 8c | 2,778$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd158…7cc4backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…2de3backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…2467backed Yes | 6c | 2,497$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,486$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…f673backed Yes | 3c | 2,361$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…29c3backed Yes | 6c | 2,310$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…c562backed Yes | 5c | 2,230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,218$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 9c | 2,026$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6651…e3ebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…c177backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…e979backed Yes | 5c | 1,846$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…c399backed Yes | 1c | 1,718$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…1413backed Yes | 5c | 1,668$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…a4e0backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad83…0575backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,565$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd332…0980backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…dffdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 1,342$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…8bbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,325$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 8c | 1,307$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…4f2cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,271$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…c320backed Yes | 4c | 1,264$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…e491backed Yes | 10c | 1,227$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +1,403.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Yes | 8c | 1,224$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…f0c9backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…345abacked Yes | 10c | 1,154$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cf…8ceabacked Yes | 9c | 1,149$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…0907backed Yes | 5c | 1,135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?this page
- Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.