World Politics · resolved market
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf8805982bfa850ee297c49d93f8168d1a273ca73b252f3c588ac2fba6f0ae08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,314,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,990,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,314,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 29,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…f64dbacked No | 1c | 28,623$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…6ddcbacked No | 1c | 26,602$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…61e4backed No | 1c | 17,728$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b8…4f8fbacked No | 1c | 17,726$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…4c7dbacked No | 1c | 17,476$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8856…263fbacked No | 1c | 17,442$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…b9c9backed No | 1c | 17,139$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…4a8cbacked No | 1c | 16,974$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…d42bbacked No | 1c | 16,703$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…c698backed No | 1c | 16,525$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…a2cebacked No | 1c | 16,273$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa605…536bbacked No | 2c | 15,966$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2228…7fadbacked No | 1c | 15,662$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…52ebbacked No | 1c | 15,360$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 13,340$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.34 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…fd7bbacked No | 1c | 13,260$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…5e0bbacked No | 1c | 13,016$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…2dc0backed No | 2c | 12,970$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…737fbacked No | 1c | 12,704$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…4134backed No | 1c | 12,550$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…ef8fbacked No | 1c | 12,485$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaed…2aa4backed No | 2c | 12,322$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1db…8c44backed No | 2c | 12,240$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…f097backed No | 1c | 12,212$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d9…441cbacked No | 1c | 12,190$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…a9b8backed No | 1c | 12,094$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d5…ce10backed No | 2c | 11,490$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…5734backed No | 1c | 11,222$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…d99abacked No | 2c | 11,021$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…3a1bbacked No | 1c | 10,725$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…e7c5backed No | 1c | 10,725$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c5…2a25backed No | 1c | 10,190$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…ed82backed No | 2c | 10,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…f874backed No | 8c | 10,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…8347backed No | 1c | 9,608$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed No | 0c | 9,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…2f1bbacked No | 1c | 9,392$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…e7dabacked No | 1c | 9,392$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…5d1fbacked No | 1c | 9,174$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…d29fbacked No | 2c | 9,117$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…ed19backed No | 2c | 9,117$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…8cecbacked No | 2c | 9,107$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…e47dbacked No | 1c | 8,964$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…7ec8backed No | 2c | 8,934$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…d0e5backed No | 1c | 8,881$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…8156backed No | 1c | 8,881$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…90b5backed No | 2c | 8,858$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…f02dbacked No | 1c | 8,842$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…82a4backed No | 1c | 8,804$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…9347backed No | 2c | 8,776$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…114cbacked No | 1c | 8,738$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…2dccbacked No | 1c | 8,738$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…71bcbacked No | 2c | 8,686$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…111dbacked No | 1c | 8,651$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…be09backed No | 2c | 8,634$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…da5dbacked No | 1c | 8,569$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…8245backed No | 2c | 8,352$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…0427backed No | 1c | 8,338$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…3b79backed No | 2c | 8,322$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…0060backed No | 1c | 8,304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +93%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…5e1abacked No | 2c | 8,295$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…b816backed No | 2c | 8,226$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…a721backed No | 1c | 8,222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0662backed No | 1c | 8,213$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +231%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…9f4cbacked No | 1c | 8,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 3c | 7,892$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.73 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 7,879$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec1…73c6backed No | 1c | 7,853$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 7,825$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.5 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa495…f61abacked No | 2c | 7,793$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…1991backed No | 1c | 7,488$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…d0e3backed No | 1c | 7,426$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…5073backed No | 1c | 7,415$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe1…4affbacked Yes | 48c | 7,390$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…6ed0backed No | 1c | 6,969$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…c8a6backed No | 1c | 6,969$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…fec4backed No | 1c | 6,635$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…b038backed No | 1c | 6,381$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…1888backed No | 1c | 6,375$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked No | 3c | 6,294$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…db5ebacked No | 1c | 6,165$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…939abacked No | 1c | 6,109$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…cedabacked No | 1c | 6,087$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…201abacked No | 1c | 6,087$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 66c | 6,036$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.98 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…5d96backed No | 1c | 5,545$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd409…4cdebacked No | 1c | 5,278$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e18…485bbacked No | 4c | 5,195$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…d0a6backed No | 2c | 5,022$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…73f6backed No | 1c | 5,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…2d3fbacked No | 1c | 4,977$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…e380backed No | 1c | 4,913$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a5…dd19backed No | 1c | 4,815$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…77e0backed No | 1c | 4,778$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…3aacbacked No | 1c | 4,768$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…27b8backed No | 10c | 4,718$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acf4backed No | 2c | 4,716$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 78c | 4,689$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…5ed0backed No | 1c | 4,656$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?this page
- Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.