World Politics · resolved market
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x873de31db355aa49fd2d6073d8ec4eb333bddc9bca5547afa7c891fd24b8f611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $835,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 38,245$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 2c | 26,611$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…d0d3backed Yes | 5c | 17,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 16,621$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 13,684$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.14 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…d15cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,466$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 1c | 11,563$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c4…acb8backed Yes | 0c | 10,402$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 10,045$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.83 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 2c | 10,032$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…9379backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 9,379$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.79 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,739$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 8,481$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 0c | 8,381$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…e904backed Yes | 1c | 7,190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2447…e9f8backed Yes | 1c | 7,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…fb03backed Yes | 0c | 5,720$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…c307backed Yes | 0c | 5,462$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 3c | 5,398$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,043$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…44b0backed Yes | 0c | 4,023$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 3c | 3,596$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…6978backed Yes | 2c | 3,563$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…d7afbacked Yes | 2c | 3,447$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 2c | 3,243$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 1c | 3,240$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 1c | 3,120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…6a34backed Yes | 7c | 3,031$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed Yes | 4c | 2,836$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…a6fdbacked Yes | 0c | 2,828$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…714cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,752$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…4437backed Yes | 2c | 2,653$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +397.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…3a70backed Yes | 6c | 2,544$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +214.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…8faabacked Yes | 0c | 2,503$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 7c | 2,439$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.67 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 1c | 2,317$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 2,288$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…d1d5backed Yes | 8c | 2,255$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed Yes | 19c | 2,231$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 2,156$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e9…ef4dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 1c | 2,094$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 1c | 1,680$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…fd9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,560$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…547abacked Yes | 1c | 1,560$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…b8e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,485$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc4…d451backed Yes | 1c | 1,464$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…efffbacked Yes | 7c | 1,443$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…0ff1backed Yes | 12c | 1,433$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +636.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 1c | 1,320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,290$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…1287backed Yes | 4c | 1,238$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…5eb6backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb5…bdcdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…aa4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…29c3backed Yes | 10c | 1,195$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes | 7c | 1,125$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…73d8backed Yes | 9c | 1,101$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,080$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,080$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…d9edbacked Yes | 1c | 1,080$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…c06abacked Yes | 1c | 1,080$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…b8bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,080$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 1c | 1,080$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…29b1backed Yes | 7c | 1,016$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f232backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830c…d9a9backed Yes | 8c | 985.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Yes | 6c | 969.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b3f7backed Yes | 1c | 960$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…af16backed Yes | 1c | 960$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 8c | 920.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 1c | 911.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…da30backed Yes | 9c | 868.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…cba1backed Yes | 2c | 852.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 24c | 753.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 76c | 753.8$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4000…c7debacked Yes | 1c | 720$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked Yes | 6c | 680$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 610$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 11c | 585.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 2c | 541$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab32…98bcbacked Yes | 7c | 509.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…e8cfbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…9eb4backed Yes | 5c | 485.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 5c | 435.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 7c | 421.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185e…7af6backed Yes | 6c | 383.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…65bfbacked Yes | 8c | 360.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 321.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2557backed Yes | 7c | 316.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…c1dcbacked Yes | 9c | 296.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 5c | 281.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…a79ebacked Yes | 11c | 234.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…a766backed Yes | 9c | 217.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -82%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…ee69backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?this page
- Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No won
- Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.