TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb26c…c307

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47.9
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.1%+$185
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.75
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$131.6
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Will there be no coalition by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+120.3%+$23.23
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.47
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+33.9%+$12.67
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+84.3%+$18.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will New York City have a white Christmas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 64°F or higher on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on December 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on December 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 57-58°F on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32 °C or higher on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+34.5%+$15.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.75
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$79.76
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+37.9%+$19.25
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+59.8%+$9.48
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.7%+$5.26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$69.15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+30.2%+$24.75
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Partizan Esport vs Copenhagen Wolves (BO3)backed Copenhagen Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+46%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+27.7%+$5.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.