Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a611d7edb7fe18bf24afdea081643ef5d614388df9d6d15cf33edfc13d1a142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 6c | 7,451$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.62 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 4,095$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.64 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 3c | 3,666$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…09a8backed Yes | 42c | 3,279$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…5625backed Yes | 10c | 2,435$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,383$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 12c | 2,382$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.38 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 14c | 1,941$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 16c | 1,882$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…586abacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…c3d2backed Yes | 7c | 1,656$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…4012backed Yes | 10c | 1,554$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 5c | 1,524$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 38c | 1,454$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43c5…4d00backed Yes | 5c | 1,443$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,341$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,284$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,221$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 8c | 1,211$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,116$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.03 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 4c | 1,074$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,071$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 10c | 1,023$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked No | 63c | 1,013$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 51c | 1,011$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.94 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb029…5044backed Yes | 3c | 1,009$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…4ae5backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Yes | 5c | 919.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 919.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 842.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…373ebacked Yes | 11c | 830.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 822.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 5c | 806.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 8c | 763.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 6c | 751.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Yes | 8c | 742.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 2c | 711.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 693.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…2429backed Yes | 5c | 664.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…9598backed Yes | 5c | 634.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…e862backed Yes | 5c | 628.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 626.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 8c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 4c | 543.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…180cbacked Yes | 37c | 539.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 3c | 531.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4405…6a37backed Yes | 38c | 525.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…9c3bbacked Yes | 6c | 519.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 40c | 501.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 29c | 500$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…fec1backed No | 63c | 499.97$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 68c | 489.13$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a1b0backed Yes | 6c | 486.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 480.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…9efebacked Yes | 12c | 479.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 7c | 455.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked No | 58c | 455.56$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…fe45backed Yes | 22c | 440.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 433.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…f94abacked Yes | 11c | 422.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 57c | 417.77$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 7c | 401.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 8c | 400.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…56fabacked Yes | 20c | 400$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed No | 61c | 355.56$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…e430backed Yes | 10c | 352$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 15c | 345.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 13c | 338.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…d9febacked Yes | 43c | 332.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…e0e1backed No | 69c | 330.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d8…67a1backed Yes | 4c | 325.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 6c | 323.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 9c | 320$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 57c | 314$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…04acbacked Yes | 9c | 305.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 285.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…5aafbacked Yes | 37c | 283.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 63c | 276$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 52c | 265.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…7508backed Yes | 26c | 265.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 6c | 263.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Yes | 37c | 261$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…fb35backed Yes | 6c | 251.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…bf8fbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…4cb0backed Yes | 8c | 235.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 68c | 223.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.