TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7233…f0ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst IPO at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saoirse Ronan attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$110
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$85.26
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.27
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.25
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.21
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$107.92
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.03
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$129.36
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$271.5
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$89.38
Will Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$57.46
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.72
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.23
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.26
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.5%+$89.66
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$106.75
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$85.68
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$43.56
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+34.2%+$61.64
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+127.3%+$97.44
Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.17
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.34
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.4
Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$146.74
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$138.16
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.25
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.63
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$292.83
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.2
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.92
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+334.8%+$284.13
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$133
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+395%+$255.35
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$33.12
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.72
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.95
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.36
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.4%+$207.5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$46.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.34
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.2
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.95
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$278.2
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.52
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$135.24
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$322
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$264.96
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$69.78
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$57.6
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$69.3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$77.9
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$129.22
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29.04
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.12
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$129.56
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.95
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$215.8
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.7
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.8
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$39.82
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.94
Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$116.16
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.26
Will Daniel Băluță get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.36
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$302.6
Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$237.51
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$87.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Anfernee Simons win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.77
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.86
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.24
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.64
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$117.3
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$64.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+236.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$355.74
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$266.23
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$37.74
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+184.9%+$358.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+96.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+124.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$66.7
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$39.06
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$508.41
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33.32
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$217.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+669.2%+$109.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$414.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$102.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Banana" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$186.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BYU make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.