NBA · resolved market
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ba5d2b34c3f78d2b483daa97bc301f7296a5d8658ba2851f4c912a161e5158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,310 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 4c | 1,698$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 4c | 910.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 11c | 728$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 3c | 651.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 10c | 539$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…c3f5backed No | 29c | 510.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 5c | 470$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed No | 4c | 466.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 25c | 446$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 4c | 439.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 6c | 422.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 8c | 405.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 396.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed No | 4c | 386.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 70c | 368$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed No | 11c | 330$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed No | 21c | 324$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 80c | 314$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…1832backed No | 28c | 299.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed Yes | 79c | 293$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 31c | 292$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 269.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 13c | 269$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 21c | 260$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes | 75c | 226$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 26c | 217$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…45d0backed No | 11c | 216.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 21c | 214$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 69c | 213$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 70c | 213$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed Yes | 75c | 212$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 204.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 69c | 199$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 79c | 197$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 30c | 194$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 79c | 193$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes | 79c | 186$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 25c | 185$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 79c | 181$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed Yes | 75c | 167$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed No | 25c | 166$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 70c | 149$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 70c | 147$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 32c | 136$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 30c | 133$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked No | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 68c | 123$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed Yes | 69c | 117$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 72c | 116$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed Yes | 80c | 116$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked No | 21c | 113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +270.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 30c | 113$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…857bbacked No | 13c | 103$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed No | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…2371backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked No | 13c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 34cpaid | +305.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 68c | 94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 90.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 70c | 86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?this page
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.