TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1f6…595c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.89
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$602.94
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.95
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.88
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$513.6
Will Rich Russo - Super Bowl LIX - Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs win Best Director for Sports at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$301.78
Will Mike Sweeney - Conan O'Brien Must Go win Best Director of a Reality / Quiz & Game at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$152.46
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+67.7%+$163.15
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110.51
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$164.01
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150.98
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$102.4
Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$33.54
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$133.84
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$142.56
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$446.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.37
Will more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.33
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.08
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$33
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.81
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$80.08
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$246
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$181.77
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.53
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$33.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$24
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.75
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.18
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$48.59
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.46
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$252.96
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.96
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.45
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$178.12
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$86.21
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$275.31
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55.08
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$132.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will Anfernee Simons win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.2
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$91.98
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.09
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.72
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.4%+$75.59
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$151.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$73.95
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$80
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$62.64
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$125.37
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.5
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.32
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$56.15
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Will Sam Altman say "Creativity" or "Artist" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$170.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.88
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Will the Social Democrats win 40-44 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.87
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$260.82
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.26
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$83.66
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$44
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.91
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+201.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+502.4%+$446.19
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$92.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.13
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+133.1%+$106.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$378.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$289.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$153.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$229.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$118.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$57.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$163.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.