CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb81d25b79321dfa5d6043efc485543a4d60ccad0b3705f6fcf645e9cc5be56b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 16c | 4,565$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.52 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,756$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 14c | 3,574$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.79 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 14c | 937.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed No | 17c | 810$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed No | 13c | 805.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed No | 17c | 756$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 57c | 674$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed No | 43c | 674$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked No | 17c | 636$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…6c92backed No | 17c | 588$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…815ebacked No | 17c | 445$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked No | 16c | 206$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 31c | 202.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 8c | 191.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7145…92f7backed Yes | 76c | 147.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked No | 19c | 103.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…9ab6backed No | 14c | 97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Yes | 79c | 95.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…7c38backed No | 14c | 88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…15dcbacked No | 14c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed No | 15c | 69.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 28c | 49.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…fc87backed Yes | 79c | 41.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…e6ccbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitality make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? this page
- Will 9z make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Aurora make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Furia make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? Yes won
- Will Parivision make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will The MongolZ make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.