CS2 · resolved market
Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cb60f57c05727a422ad87cf5005078870574b9cb37d23eaa6399e377ea0dcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0285…59d6backed No | 54c | 1,177$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 54c | 1,150$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 27c | 1,089$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed Yes | 46c | 931$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 46c | 892$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 73c | 552$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 73c | 537$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…4a22backed Yes | 63c | 526.22$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed Yes | 46c | 504$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 34c | 264.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…9497backed No | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 42c | 147.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcc…00c9backed Yes | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed No | 46c | 76.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…3affbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? this page
- Will 9z make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Aurora make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Furia make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Parivision make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will The MongolZ make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Vitality make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.