CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7db353898219c7ba442ca500e376ab9e9605c8a341c2e7e346463ca3228ee29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 64c | 1,939$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes | 33c | 1,210$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…109cbacked Yes | 36c | 989$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 36c | 950$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…e4a3backed Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 68c | 680$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed Yes | 32c | 680$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed No | 67c | 610$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…e7dbbacked No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 69c | 519$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…a002backed No | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 4c | 312.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed Yes | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 31c | 261$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…911fbacked No | 69c | 261$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked Yes | 31c | 249$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 27c | 223.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…2e4ebacked Yes | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 69c | 190.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 78c | 48.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Yes | 32c | 33.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? this page
- Will 9z make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Aurora make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Furia make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? Yes won
- Will Parivision make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will The MongolZ make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? No won
- Will Vitality make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.